Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.302.65safe0.37–2.310.45–2.160.82–4.47safer0.12–2.560.22–2.390.34–4.95
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.844.088.92safe2.98–6.702.34–5.825.31–12.52safer2.49–7.191.87–6.294.36–13.48
Total shots
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8411.3425.19safe9.92–17.777.78–14.9117.70–32.67safer8.83–18.866.82–15.8715.65–34.72
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction8.757.5716.32safe5.81–11.694.89–10.2610.70–21.95safer4.98–12.524.16–10.999.13–23.51
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.753.076.82safe1.87–5.641.41–4.723.29–10.36safer1.33–6.180.92–5.212.25–11.39
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.194.429.61safe2.97–7.402.42–6.425.39–13.82safer2.40–7.971.89–6.954.29–14.93
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction47.6552.62safe40.86–54.4445.83–59.40safer39.19–56.1144.16–61.07
Passes
33%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction440491931safe373–507424–557797–1064safer355–525407–575761–1100
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction67.8373.05safe63.80–71.8668.73–77.38safer62.51–73.1567.42–78.69
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6312.8924.53safe8.79–14.479.95–15.8418.74–30.31safer8.04–15.229.20–16.5917.24–31.81
Offsides
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.143.70safe0.40–2.721.05–3.231.45–5.95safer0.10–3.020.76–3.520.86–6.54
Yellow cards
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.693.31safe0.57–2.670.56–2.821.13–5.49safer0.31–2.940.27–3.110.57–6.04
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.286.09safe1.38–4.251.72–4.843.10–9.08safer0.99–4.641.30–5.262.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.65 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.84 2.98–6.70 2.49–7.19 | 4.08 2.34–5.82 1.87–6.29 | 8.92 5.31–12.52 4.36–13.48 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.84 9.92–17.77 8.83–18.86 | 11.34 7.78–14.91 6.82–15.87 | 25.19 17.70–32.67 15.65–34.72 | 65% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.75 5.81–11.69 4.98–12.52 | 7.57 4.89–10.26 4.16–10.99 | 16.32 10.70–21.95 9.13–23.51 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.75 1.87–5.64 1.33–6.18 | 3.07 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 6.82 3.29–10.36 2.25–11.39 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.97–7.40 2.40–7.97 | 4.42 2.42–6.42 1.89–6.95 | 9.61 5.39–13.82 4.29–14.93 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 47.65 40.86–54.44 39.19–56.11 | 52.62 45.83–59.40 44.16–61.07 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 440 373–507 355–525 | 491 424–557 407–575 | 931 797–1064 761–1100 | 33% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.83 63.80–71.86 62.51–73.15 | 73.05 68.73–77.38 67.42–78.69 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 11.63 8.79–14.47 8.04–15.22 | 12.89 9.95–15.84 9.20–16.59 | 24.53 18.74–30.31 17.24–31.81 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 2.14 1.05–3.23 0.76–3.52 | 3.70 1.45–5.95 0.86–6.54 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.31 1.13–5.49 0.57–6.04 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 3.28 1.72–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.29–9.90 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.