Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.262.93safe0.70–2.640.40–2.111.11–4.76safer0.45–2.890.18–2.340.63–5.23
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.154.349.49safe3.29–7.022.60–6.085.89–13.10safer2.80–7.512.13–6.554.93–14.05
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0812.8428.91safe12.15–20.009.28–16.4021.43–36.40safer11.06–21.098.32–17.3619.37–38.45
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction10.378.0618.43safe7.43–13.315.38–10.7412.81–24.05safer6.60–14.144.64–11.4811.24–25.62
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.303.798.09safe2.42–6.182.14–5.444.55–11.62safer1.87–6.721.65–5.943.52–12.66
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.349.68safe3.13–7.562.34–6.345.47–13.89safer2.56–8.131.80–6.874.36–15.00
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction52.6248.91safe45.83–59.4142.12–55.69safer44.16–61.0840.45–57.36
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction519480999safe452–587413–546866–1133safer434–605396–564830–1169
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction70.6775.73safe66.64–74.7071.40–80.05safer65.35–75.9970.09–81.36
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7112.9623.67safe7.87–13.5510.01–15.9017.89–29.45safer7.12–14.309.27–16.6516.38–30.96
Offsides
43%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.753.68safe0.76–3.080.66–2.851.42–5.93safer0.46–3.390.37–3.130.83–6.52
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.023.65safe0.59–2.680.89–3.151.48–5.83safer0.32–2.950.60–3.440.92–6.39
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.316.29safe1.54–4.411.76–4.873.30–9.29safer1.16–4.801.33–5.302.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.18–2.34 | 2.93 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.23 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.29–7.02 2.80–7.51 | 4.34 2.60–6.08 2.13–6.55 | 9.49 5.89–13.10 4.93–14.05 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 16.08 12.15–20.00 11.06–21.09 | 12.84 9.28–16.40 8.32–17.36 | 28.91 21.43–36.40 19.37–38.45 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 10.37 7.43–13.31 6.60–14.14 | 8.06 5.38–10.74 4.64–11.48 | 18.43 12.81–24.05 11.24–25.62 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.42–6.18 1.87–6.72 | 3.79 2.14–5.44 1.65–5.94 | 8.09 4.55–11.62 3.52–12.66 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.13–7.56 2.56–8.13 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.80–6.87 | 9.68 5.47–13.89 4.36–15.00 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 52.62 45.83–59.41 44.16–61.08 | 48.91 42.12–55.69 40.45–57.36 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 519 452–587 434–605 | 480 413–546 396–564 | 999 866–1133 830–1169 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.67 66.64–74.70 65.35–75.99 | 75.73 71.40–80.05 70.09–81.36 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 10.71 7.87–13.55 7.12–14.30 | 12.96 10.01–15.90 9.27–16.65 | 23.67 17.89–29.45 16.38–30.96 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.39 | 1.75 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.13 | 3.68 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 43% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.65 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.54–4.41 1.16–4.80 | 3.31 1.76–4.87 1.33–5.30 | 6.29 3.30–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.