Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.492.80safe0.34–2.280.64–2.350.98–4.63safer0.09–2.530.41–2.580.50–5.11
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.384.789.16safe2.51–6.243.04–6.525.55–12.76safer2.02–6.732.57–6.994.60–13.72
Total shots
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7913.2326.02safe8.87–16.729.67–16.8018.54–33.51safer7.77–17.818.71–17.7616.49–35.56
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.669.0516.71safe4.72–10.606.37–11.7311.09–22.33safer3.89–11.435.63–12.479.52–23.90
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.134.107.23safe1.25–5.022.44–5.753.69–10.76safer0.71–5.561.95–6.242.66–11.80
Corners
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.694.909.59safe2.48–6.902.90–6.905.38–13.81safer1.90–7.482.37–7.444.27–14.91
Possession %
49%
47%
homeawayprediction50.8050.39safe44.01–57.5943.60–57.17safer42.34–59.2641.93–58.84
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction486484970safe419–554417–550836–1104safer401–572400–568801–1140
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction72.1276.60safe68.09–76.1572.28–80.93safer66.80–77.4570.97–82.24
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0110.5422.55safe9.17–14.847.60–13.4916.77–28.33safer8.41–15.606.85–14.2315.26–29.83
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.623.42safe0.65–2.970.52–2.711.17–5.68safer0.35–3.270.23–3.000.58–6.27
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.663.50safe0.79–2.890.53–2.791.32–5.68safer0.52–3.160.24–3.080.76–6.23
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.080.22safe0.00–0.300.00–0.270.00–0.57safer0.00–0.450.00–0.400.00–0.85
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.026.22safe1.76–4.641.46–4.583.23–9.21safer1.38–5.021.04–5.002.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.49 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.58 | 2.80 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.51–6.24 2.02–6.73 | 4.78 3.04–6.52 2.57–6.99 | 9.16 5.55–12.76 4.60–13.72 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 12.79 8.87–16.72 7.77–17.81 | 13.23 9.67–16.80 8.71–17.76 | 26.02 18.54–33.51 16.49–35.56 | 43% 50% |
| Shots in box | 7.66 4.72–10.60 3.89–11.43 | 9.05 6.37–11.73 5.63–12.47 | 16.71 11.09–22.33 9.52–23.90 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.13 1.25–5.02 0.71–5.56 | 4.10 2.44–5.75 1.95–6.24 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.66–11.80 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.69 2.48–6.90 1.90–7.48 | 4.90 2.90–6.90 2.37–7.44 | 9.59 5.38–13.81 4.27–14.91 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Possession % | 50.80 44.01–57.59 42.34–59.26 | 50.39 43.60–57.17 41.93–58.84 | — | 49% 47% |
| Passes | 486 419–554 401–572 | 484 417–550 400–568 | 970 836–1104 801–1140 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.12 68.09–76.15 66.80–77.45 | 76.60 72.28–80.93 70.97–82.24 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 12.01 9.17–14.84 8.41–15.60 | 10.54 7.60–13.49 6.85–14.23 | 22.55 16.77–28.33 15.26–29.83 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.62 0.52–2.71 0.23–3.00 | 3.42 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.16 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.76–6.23 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.20 1.76–4.64 1.38–5.02 | 3.02 1.46–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.42–10.03 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+