Ligue 1·Regular Season - 23·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.750.862.61safe0.78–2.720.01–1.720.79–4.44safer0.53–2.970.00–1.940.31–4.92
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.743.248.98safe3.87–7.601.50–4.995.37–12.58safer3.38–8.091.03–5.454.42–13.54
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.239.8426.07safe12.31–20.156.28–13.4018.58–33.56safer11.21–21.255.32–14.3616.53–35.61
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.046.4216.45safe7.09–12.983.74–9.1010.83–22.08safer6.26–13.813.00–9.849.26–23.64
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.842.466.31safe1.96–5.720.81–4.122.77–9.84safer1.42–6.270.32–4.611.74–10.88
Corners
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.023.449.47safe3.81–8.241.44–5.445.25–13.68safer3.24–8.810.91–5.974.15–14.79
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction62.1538.36safe55.36–68.9431.57–45.14safer53.69–70.6129.90–46.81
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction6203801000safe553–687314–446866–1133safer534–705296–464830–1169
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction73.9768.46safe69.94–78.0064.13–72.78safer68.65–79.2962.82–74.09
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0112.3624.36safe9.17–14.849.41–15.3018.58–30.14safer8.41–15.608.66–16.0517.08–31.65
Offsides
48%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.403.23safe0.67–2.990.31–2.500.98–5.49safer0.37–3.290.02–2.780.39–6.08
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.013.52safe0.46–2.560.88–3.141.34–5.69safer0.19–2.820.59–3.430.78–6.25
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.766.15safe0.95–3.822.21–5.323.16–9.14safer0.56–4.211.78–5.742.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.72 0.53–2.97 | 0.86 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.94 | 2.61 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 58% 23% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.74 3.87–7.60 3.38–8.09 | 3.24 1.50–4.99 1.03–5.45 | 8.98 5.37–12.58 4.42–13.54 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.23 12.31–20.15 11.21–21.25 | 9.84 6.28–13.40 5.32–14.36 | 26.07 18.58–33.56 16.53–35.61 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.04 7.09–12.98 6.26–13.81 | 6.42 3.74–9.10 3.00–9.84 | 16.45 10.83–22.08 9.26–23.64 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.42–6.27 | 2.46 0.81–4.12 0.32–4.61 | 6.31 2.77–9.84 1.74–10.88 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 6.02 3.81–8.24 3.24–8.81 | 3.44 1.44–5.44 0.91–5.97 | 9.47 5.25–13.68 4.15–14.79 | 75% 15% |
| Possession % | 62.15 55.36–68.94 53.69–70.61 | 38.36 31.57–45.14 29.90–46.81 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 620 553–687 534–705 | 380 314–446 296–464 | 1000 866–1133 830–1169 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.97 69.94–78.00 68.65–79.29 | 68.46 64.13–72.78 62.82–74.09 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 12.01 9.17–14.84 8.41–15.60 | 12.36 9.41–15.30 8.66–16.05 | 24.36 18.58–30.14 17.08–31.65 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.78 | 3.23 0.98–5.49 0.39–6.08 | 48% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.52 1.34–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 3.76 2.21–5.32 1.78–5.74 | 6.15 3.16–9.14 2.35–9.96 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.