Ligue 1·Regular Season - 23·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.190.964.15safe2.22–4.160.10–1.812.33–5.97safer1.97–4.410.00–2.041.85–6.45
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.893.6711.55safe6.03–9.751.92–5.417.95–15.16safer5.54–10.241.46–5.876.99–16.11
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.859.4330.28safe16.93–24.785.86–12.9922.79–37.77safer15.84–25.874.91–13.9520.74–39.82
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction14.276.4720.74safe11.33–17.213.79–9.1515.12–26.36safer10.50–18.043.05–9.8913.55–27.93
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.342.688.03safe3.46–7.231.03–4.344.49–11.56safer2.92–7.770.54–4.833.46–12.60
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.403.0010.39safe5.18–9.611.00–5.006.18–14.61safer4.61–10.180.46–5.535.07–15.71
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.4134.00safe59.62–73.2027.21–40.78safer57.95–74.8725.54–42.45
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7053521057safe638–772285–418923–1191safer620–791268–436888–1226
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction80.6671.02safe76.63–84.6966.70–75.35safer75.34–85.9865.39–76.66
Fouls
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction7.9111.1119.02safe5.07–10.758.17–14.0613.24–24.80safer4.31–11.507.42–14.8111.73–26.31
Offsides
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.264.11safe0.69–3.011.16–3.351.86–6.36safer0.39–3.320.87–3.641.27–6.95
Yellow cards
21%
22%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.923.01safe0.04–2.140.79–3.050.84–5.19safer0.00–2.410.50–3.340.28–5.75
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.514.807.31safe1.07–3.953.24–6.364.32–10.30safer0.69–4.332.82–6.783.51–11.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.19 2.22–4.16 1.97–4.41 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 4.15 2.33–5.97 1.85–6.45 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 7.89 6.03–9.75 5.54–10.24 | 3.67 1.92–5.41 1.46–5.87 | 11.55 7.95–15.16 6.99–16.11 | 87% |
| Total shots | 20.85 16.93–24.78 15.84–25.87 | 9.43 5.86–12.99 4.91–13.95 | 30.28 22.79–37.77 20.74–39.82 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.27 11.33–17.21 10.50–18.04 | 6.47 3.79–9.15 3.05–9.89 | 20.74 15.12–26.36 13.55–27.93 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.34 3.46–7.23 2.92–7.77 | 2.68 1.03–4.34 0.54–4.83 | 8.03 4.49–11.56 3.46–12.60 | 78% |
| Corners | 7.40 5.18–9.61 4.61–10.18 | 3.00 1.00–5.00 0.46–5.53 | 10.39 6.18–14.61 5.07–15.71 | 89% |
| Possession % | 66.41 59.62–73.20 57.95–74.87 | 34.00 27.21–40.78 25.54–42.45 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 705 638–772 620–791 | 352 285–418 268–436 | 1057 923–1191 888–1226 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.66 76.63–84.69 75.34–85.98 | 71.02 66.70–75.35 65.39–76.66 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 7.91 5.07–10.75 4.31–11.50 | 11.11 8.17–14.06 7.42–14.81 | 19.02 13.24–24.80 11.73–26.31 | 20% 73% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.32 | 2.26 1.16–3.35 0.87–3.64 | 4.11 1.86–6.36 1.27–6.95 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.09 0.04–2.14 0.00–2.41 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.01 0.84–5.19 0.28–5.75 | 21% 22% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.07–3.95 0.69–4.33 | 4.80 3.24–6.36 2.82–6.78 | 7.31 4.32–10.30 3.51–11.11 | 15% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.