Ligue 1·Regular Season - 23·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.432.59safe0.18–2.120.58–2.290.76–4.41safer0.00–2.370.35–2.520.28–4.89
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.194.218.39safe2.32–6.052.46–5.954.79–12.00safer1.83–6.542.00–6.423.83–12.95
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5612.4025.96safe9.63–17.488.83–15.9618.47–33.44safer8.54–18.587.87–16.9216.42–35.49
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.958.3217.27safe6.01–11.895.64–11.0011.65–22.90safer5.18–12.724.90–11.7410.08–24.46
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.086.75safe1.78–5.551.43–4.743.21–10.28safer1.24–6.090.94–5.232.18–11.32
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.749.94safe2.98–7.412.74–6.745.72–14.15safer2.41–7.982.21–7.274.62–15.26
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.5656.48safe36.77–50.3549.70–63.27safer35.10–52.0248.03–64.94
Passes
18%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction401508908safe333–468441–574775–1042safer315–486424–592739–1078
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction65.4172.24safe61.38–69.4467.91–76.56safer60.09–70.7366.60–77.87
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7810.9024.68safe10.94–16.617.96–13.8518.90–30.46safer10.18–17.377.21–14.6017.39–31.97
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.733.51safe0.62–2.940.63–2.821.25–5.76safer0.32–3.240.34–3.110.66–6.35
Yellow cards
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.493.10safe0.57–2.670.36–2.620.93–5.28safer0.30–2.930.07–2.910.37–5.84
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
47%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.122.825.94safe1.69–4.561.26–4.372.95–8.93safer1.30–4.950.84–4.802.14–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 2.59 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 30% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.19 2.32–6.05 1.83–6.54 | 4.21 2.46–5.95 2.00–6.42 | 8.39 4.79–12.00 3.83–12.95 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.63–17.48 8.54–18.58 | 12.40 8.83–15.96 7.87–16.92 | 25.96 18.47–33.44 16.42–35.49 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.95 6.01–11.89 5.18–12.72 | 8.32 5.64–11.00 4.90–11.74 | 17.27 11.65–22.90 10.08–24.46 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 3.08 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 6.75 3.21–10.28 2.18–11.32 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.20 2.98–7.41 2.41–7.98 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.21–7.27 | 9.94 5.72–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 43.56 36.77–50.35 35.10–52.02 | 56.48 49.70–63.27 48.03–64.94 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 401 333–468 315–486 | 508 441–574 424–592 | 908 775–1042 739–1078 | 18% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.41 61.38–69.44 60.09–70.73 | 72.24 67.91–76.56 66.60–77.87 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 13.78 10.94–16.61 10.18–17.37 | 10.90 7.96–13.85 7.21–14.60 | 24.68 18.90–30.46 17.39–31.97 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.51 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 1.49 0.36–2.62 0.07–2.91 | 3.10 0.93–5.28 0.37–5.84 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 2.82 1.26–4.37 0.84–4.80 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.14–9.74 | 47% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+