Ligue 1·Regular Season - 24·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.872.833.70safe0.00–1.841.97–3.681.88–5.52safer0.00–2.091.75–3.911.40–6.00
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction2.966.929.88safe1.10–4.825.17–8.666.27–13.48safer0.61–5.314.71–9.135.32–14.44
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0516.9926.05safe5.13–12.9813.43–20.5618.56–33.54safer4.04–14.0712.47–21.5216.51–35.59
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5.5611.5117.06safe2.61–8.508.82–14.1911.44–22.68safer1.78–9.338.09–14.929.87–24.25
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.275.037.30safe0.39–4.163.38–6.683.77–10.84safer0.00–4.702.88–7.172.73–11.87
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.516.6910.21safe1.30–5.734.69–8.695.99–14.42safer0.73–6.304.16–9.234.88–15.53
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction28.4772.26safe21.68–35.2665.47–79.04safer20.01–36.9363.80–80.72
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3107261036safe243–377659–792902–1170safer225–396642–810867–1205
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction63.9284.52safe59.89–67.9580.20–88.84safer58.60–69.2478.89–90.15
Fouls
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction11.038.7319.77safe8.20–13.875.79–11.6813.98–25.55safer7.44–14.635.04–12.4312.48–27.05
Offsides
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.074.36safe1.13–3.450.98–3.162.11–6.62safer0.83–3.750.69–3.451.52–7.21
Yellow cards
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.082.60safe0.47–2.570.00–2.210.42–4.78safer0.20–2.830.00–2.500.00–5.34
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.060.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.196.38safe2.75–5.630.64–3.753.39–9.37safer2.37–6.010.21–4.172.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 2.83 1.97–3.68 1.75–3.91 | 3.70 1.88–5.52 1.40–6.00 | 14% 78% |
| Shots on target | 2.96 1.10–4.82 0.61–5.31 | 6.92 5.17–8.66 4.71–9.13 | 9.88 6.27–13.48 5.32–14.44 | 87% |
| Total shots | 9.05 5.13–12.98 4.04–14.07 | 16.99 13.43–20.56 12.47–21.52 | 26.05 18.56–33.54 16.51–35.59 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 5.56 2.61–8.50 1.78–9.33 | 11.51 8.82–14.19 8.09–14.92 | 17.06 11.44–22.68 9.87–24.25 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 2.27 0.39–4.16 0.00–4.70 | 5.03 3.38–6.68 2.88–7.17 | 7.30 3.77–10.84 2.73–11.87 | 80% |
| Corners | 3.51 1.30–5.73 0.73–6.30 | 6.69 4.69–8.69 4.16–9.23 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.88–15.53 | 80% |
| Possession % | 28.47 21.68–35.26 20.01–36.93 | 72.26 65.47–79.04 63.80–80.72 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 310 243–377 225–396 | 726 659–792 642–810 | 1036 902–1170 867–1205 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.92 59.89–67.95 58.60–69.24 | 84.52 80.20–88.84 78.89–90.15 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 11.03 8.20–13.87 7.44–14.63 | 8.73 5.79–11.68 5.04–12.43 | 19.77 13.98–25.55 12.48–27.05 | 66% 26% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.13–3.45 0.83–3.75 | 2.07 0.98–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 4.36 2.11–6.62 1.52–7.21 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.83 | 1.08 0.00–2.21 0.00–2.50 | 2.60 0.42–4.78 0.00–5.34 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 4.19 2.75–5.63 2.37–6.01 | 2.19 0.64–3.75 0.21–4.17 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.58–10.19 | 72% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.