Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.522.92safe0.44–2.370.67–2.381.10–4.75safer0.18–2.620.44–2.600.62–5.23
Shots on target
41%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.815.059.86safe2.95–6.673.31–6.806.26–13.47safer2.46–7.162.85–7.265.30–14.42
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4013.6227.02safe9.48–17.3310.06–17.1819.54–34.51safer8.39–18.429.10–18.1417.49–36.56
Shots in box
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction9.129.0718.19safe6.18–12.066.39–11.7512.57–23.82safer5.35–12.895.65–12.4911.00–25.38
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.543.436.97safe1.66–5.431.78–5.083.44–10.51safer1.12–5.971.28–5.582.40–11.54
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.9610.21safe3.03–7.462.96–6.965.99–14.42safer2.46–8.032.43–7.494.88–15.53
Possession %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction46.9352.47safe40.14–53.7245.68–59.25safer38.47–55.3944.01–60.92
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction415455870safe348–482389–522737–1004safer329–500371–539701–1040
Pass accuracy %
23%
72%
homeawayprediction65.9671.08safe61.93–69.9966.76–75.41safer60.64–71.2865.45–76.72
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8013.2326.02safe9.96–15.6310.28–16.1720.24–31.81safer9.20–16.399.53–16.9218.74–33.31
Offsides
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.073.92safe0.69–3.010.98–3.161.66–6.17safer0.38–3.310.69–3.451.07–6.76
Yellow cards
37%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.943.78safe0.79–2.890.81–3.071.60–5.96safer0.53–3.160.52–3.361.04–6.52
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.293.146.42safe1.85–4.721.58–4.693.43–9.42safer1.46–5.111.16–5.122.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.44–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.52 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.60 | 2.92 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.67 2.46–7.16 | 5.05 3.31–6.80 2.85–7.26 | 9.86 6.26–13.47 5.30–14.42 | 41% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.40 9.48–17.33 8.39–18.42 | 13.62 10.06–17.18 9.10–18.14 | 27.02 19.54–34.51 17.49–36.56 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 9.12 6.18–12.06 5.35–12.89 | 9.07 6.39–11.75 5.65–12.49 | 18.19 12.57–23.82 11.00–25.38 | 46% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.54 1.66–5.43 1.12–5.97 | 3.43 1.78–5.08 1.28–5.58 | 6.97 3.44–10.51 2.40–11.54 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.03–7.46 2.46–8.03 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.43–7.49 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.88–15.53 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 46.93 40.14–53.72 38.47–55.39 | 52.47 45.68–59.25 44.01–60.92 | — | 35% 61% |
| Passes | 415 348–482 329–500 | 455 389–522 371–539 | 870 737–1004 701–1040 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.96 61.93–69.99 60.64–71.28 | 71.08 66.76–75.41 65.45–76.72 | — | 23% 72% |
| Fouls | 12.80 9.96–15.63 9.20–16.39 | 13.23 10.28–16.17 9.53–16.92 | 26.02 20.24–31.81 18.74–33.31 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.38–3.31 | 2.07 0.98–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 3.92 1.66–6.17 1.07–6.76 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.52 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.85–4.72 1.46–5.11 | 3.14 1.58–4.69 1.16–5.12 | 6.42 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.