Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.232.113.34safe0.27–2.201.25–2.961.52–5.16safer0.01–2.451.02–3.191.04–5.64
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.206.0610.25safe2.33–6.064.31–7.806.65–13.86safer1.84–6.553.85–8.265.69–14.81
Total shots
19%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3116.5928.90safe8.38–16.2313.03–20.1521.41–36.38safer7.29–17.3212.07–21.1119.36–38.44
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6111.7719.37safe4.66–10.559.08–14.4513.75–25.00safer3.84–11.388.35–15.1812.18–26.56
Blocked shots
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.144.607.75safe1.26–5.032.95–6.264.21–11.28safer0.72–5.572.46–6.753.18–12.32
Corners
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.386.1410.52safe2.17–6.604.14–8.146.31–14.73safer1.59–7.173.61–8.675.20–15.84
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction48.0353.16safe41.24–54.8246.38–59.95safer39.57–56.4944.71–61.62
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction439464904safe372–507398–531770–1038safer354–525380–548734–1073
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction67.3674.69safe63.33–71.3970.37–79.02safer62.04–72.6869.06–80.33
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7212.0024.72safe9.89–15.569.05–14.9418.94–30.50safer9.13–16.328.31–15.6917.44–32.01
Offsides
28%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.233.86safe0.47–2.791.13–3.321.61–6.11safer0.17–3.090.85–3.611.02–6.70
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.963.99safe0.98–3.080.83–3.091.82–6.17safer0.72–3.350.54–3.381.26–6.73
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.102.856.95safe2.67–5.541.29–4.413.96–9.95safer2.28–5.930.87–4.833.15–10.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.27–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 2.11 1.25–2.96 1.02–3.19 | 3.34 1.52–5.16 1.04–5.64 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Shots on target | 4.20 2.33–6.06 1.84–6.55 | 6.06 4.31–7.80 3.85–8.26 | 10.25 6.65–13.86 5.69–14.81 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.31 8.38–16.23 7.29–17.32 | 16.59 13.03–20.15 12.07–21.11 | 28.90 21.41–36.38 19.36–38.44 | 19% 76% |
| Shots in box | 7.61 4.66–10.55 3.84–11.38 | 11.77 9.08–14.45 8.35–15.18 | 19.37 13.75–25.00 12.18–26.56 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.26–5.03 0.72–5.57 | 4.60 2.95–6.26 2.46–6.75 | 7.75 4.21–11.28 3.18–12.32 | 24% 63% |
| Corners | 4.38 2.17–6.60 1.59–7.17 | 6.14 4.14–8.14 3.61–8.67 | 10.52 6.31–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 24% 65% |
| Possession % | 48.03 41.24–54.82 39.57–56.49 | 53.16 46.38–59.95 44.71–61.62 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 439 372–507 354–525 | 464 398–531 380–548 | 904 770–1038 734–1073 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.36 63.33–71.39 62.04–72.68 | 74.69 70.37–79.02 69.06–80.33 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 12.72 9.89–15.56 9.13–16.32 | 12.00 9.05–14.94 8.31–15.69 | 24.72 18.94–30.50 17.44–32.01 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 2.23 1.13–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 3.86 1.61–6.11 1.02–6.70 | 28% 20% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.72–3.35 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.99 1.82–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 4.10 2.67–5.54 2.28–5.93 | 2.85 1.29–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 6.95 3.96–9.95 3.15–10.76 | 61% 14% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.