Ligue 1·Regular Season - 24·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.310.743.05safe1.34–3.280.00–1.591.23–4.87safer1.09–3.530.00–1.820.75–5.35
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.362.949.30safe4.50–8.221.19–4.685.69–12.90safer4.01–8.710.73–5.144.74–13.86
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.848.8026.64safe13.92–21.775.24–12.3619.16–34.13safer12.83–22.864.28–13.3217.11–36.18
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.285.2717.55safe9.34–15.222.58–7.9511.92–23.17safer8.51–16.051.85–8.6810.36–24.74
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.532.246.77safe2.65–6.410.59–3.893.24–10.31safer2.11–6.960.09–4.392.20–11.34
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.853.7110.57safe4.64–9.071.71–5.716.35–14.78safer4.07–9.641.18–6.255.25–15.89
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.7233.57safe59.93–73.5126.79–40.36safer58.26–75.1825.12–42.03
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction614307921safe547–681240–373787–1054safer528–699223–391751–1090
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction76.8465.35safe72.81–80.8661.03–69.68safer71.51–82.1659.72–70.99
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9513.3724.32safe8.12–13.7910.42–16.3118.54–30.10safer7.36–14.559.67–17.0617.03–31.61
Offsides
44%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.733.72safe0.82–3.140.64–2.831.46–5.97safer0.52–3.450.35–3.120.88–6.56
Yellow cards
22%
21%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.252.133.38safe0.20–2.291.01–3.261.20–5.56safer0.00–2.560.71–3.550.64–6.12
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.046.18safe0.70–3.572.49–5.603.19–9.17safer0.31–3.962.06–6.022.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.31 1.34–3.28 1.09–3.53 | 0.74 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 73% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.36 4.50–8.22 4.01–8.71 | 2.94 1.19–4.68 0.73–5.14 | 9.30 5.69–12.90 4.74–13.86 | 83% |
| Total shots | 17.84 13.92–21.77 12.83–22.86 | 8.80 5.24–12.36 4.28–13.32 | 26.64 19.16–34.13 17.11–36.18 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.28 9.34–15.22 8.51–16.05 | 5.27 2.58–7.95 1.85–8.68 | 17.55 11.92–23.17 10.36–24.74 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.65–6.41 2.11–6.96 | 2.24 0.59–3.89 0.09–4.39 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.85 4.64–9.07 4.07–9.64 | 3.71 1.71–5.71 1.18–6.25 | 10.57 6.35–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 79% |
| Possession % | 66.72 59.93–73.51 58.26–75.18 | 33.57 26.79–40.36 25.12–42.03 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 614 547–681 528–699 | 307 240–373 223–391 | 921 787–1054 751–1090 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.84 72.81–80.86 71.51–82.16 | 65.35 61.03–69.68 59.72–70.99 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.95 8.12–13.79 7.36–14.55 | 13.37 10.42–16.31 9.67–17.06 | 24.32 18.54–30.10 17.03–31.61 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.45 | 1.73 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.12 | 3.72 1.46–5.97 0.88–6.56 | 44% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.29 0.00–2.56 | 2.13 1.01–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.12 | 22% 21% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.70–3.57 0.31–3.96 | 4.04 2.49–5.60 2.06–6.02 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.38–9.99 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.