Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.582.92safe0.37–2.300.73–2.441.09–4.74safer0.12–2.550.50–2.660.61–5.22
Shots on target
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.594.549.13safe2.73–6.452.80–6.285.52–12.73safer2.24–6.942.33–6.754.57–13.69
Total shots
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7412.7826.52safe9.81–17.669.22–16.3519.03–34.01safer8.72–18.758.26–17.3016.98–36.06
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.818.4817.29safe5.87–11.755.80–11.1611.66–22.91safer5.04–12.585.06–11.8910.10–24.48
Blocked shots
44%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.463.376.83safe1.58–5.341.72–5.023.30–10.37safer1.03–5.891.23–5.522.26–11.40
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.8510.44safe3.38–7.812.85–6.856.23–14.66safer2.81–8.382.32–7.385.12–15.76
Possession %
51%
45%
homeawayprediction50.9349.65safe44.14–57.7242.87–56.44safer42.47–59.3941.20–58.11
Passes
63%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5234821005safe456–590416–549872–1139safer438–608398–566836–1175
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction72.5374.93safe68.50–76.5670.61–79.26safer67.21–77.8669.30–80.57
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1211.8723.00safe8.29–13.968.93–14.8217.22–28.78safer7.53–14.728.18–15.5715.71–30.28
Offsides
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.463.44safe0.82–3.140.37–2.551.19–5.70safer0.52–3.450.08–2.840.60–6.29
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.793.38safe0.54–2.640.66–2.921.20–5.56safer0.27–2.910.37–3.210.65–6.12
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
38%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.236.23safe1.57–4.441.67–4.783.24–9.22safer1.18–4.831.25–5.212.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.30 0.12–2.55 | 1.58 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.66 | 2.92 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 32% 24% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.59 2.73–6.45 2.24–6.94 | 4.54 2.80–6.28 2.33–6.75 | 9.13 5.52–12.73 4.57–13.69 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.74 9.81–17.66 8.72–18.75 | 12.78 9.22–16.35 8.26–17.30 | 26.52 19.03–34.01 16.98–36.06 | 54% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.81 5.87–11.75 5.04–12.58 | 8.48 5.80–11.16 5.06–11.89 | 17.29 11.66–22.91 10.10–24.48 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.46 1.58–5.34 1.03–5.89 | 3.37 1.72–5.02 1.23–5.52 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 44% 16% 41% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.38–7.81 2.81–8.38 | 4.85 2.85–6.85 2.32–7.38 | 10.44 6.23–14.66 5.12–15.76 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 50.93 44.14–57.72 42.47–59.39 | 49.65 42.87–56.44 41.20–58.11 | — | 51% 45% |
| Passes | 523 456–590 438–608 | 482 416–549 398–566 | 1005 872–1139 836–1175 | 63% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.53 68.50–76.56 67.21–77.86 | 74.93 70.61–79.26 69.30–80.57 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 11.12 8.29–13.96 7.53–14.72 | 11.87 8.93–14.82 8.18–15.57 | 23.00 17.22–28.78 15.71–30.28 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.45 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.44 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.91 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 3.23 1.67–4.78 1.25–5.21 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 38% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.