Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.262.98safe0.75–2.680.41–2.121.15–4.80safer0.50–2.930.18–2.350.68–5.28
Shots on target
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.099.31safe3.36–7.092.35–5.835.71–12.92safer2.87–7.581.88–6.304.75–13.87
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3611.8527.22safe11.44–19.298.29–15.4219.73–34.70safer10.35–20.387.33–16.3817.68–36.75
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.457.9017.35safe6.50–12.395.22–10.5811.72–22.97safer5.68–13.224.48–11.3210.16–24.54
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.423.337.75safe2.54–6.311.68–4.984.22–11.29safer2.00–6.851.18–5.473.18–12.32
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.414.3310.74safe4.20–8.622.33–6.336.53–14.96safer3.62–9.201.80–6.875.42–16.06
Possession %
52%
44%
homeawayprediction51.2249.47safe44.43–58.0142.68–56.25safer42.76–59.6841.01–57.92
Passes
54%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction469456925safe402–536390–522791–1059safer384–554372–540756–1094
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction70.4972.71safe66.46–74.5268.38–77.03safer65.17–75.8167.08–78.34
Fouls
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3613.6524.00safe7.52–13.1910.70–16.5918.22–29.79safer6.76–13.959.95–17.3416.72–31.29
Offsides
39%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.863.70safe0.67–2.990.77–2.961.44–5.95safer0.37–3.290.48–3.240.85–6.54
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.133.67safe0.50–2.591.00–3.261.50–5.85safer0.23–2.860.71–3.550.94–6.41
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.446.31safe1.43–4.311.89–5.003.32–9.31safer1.05–4.691.46–5.422.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.75–2.68 0.50–2.93 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.22 3.36–7.09 2.87–7.58 | 4.09 2.35–5.83 1.88–6.30 | 9.31 5.71–12.92 4.75–13.87 | 58% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.36 11.44–19.29 10.35–20.38 | 11.85 8.29–15.42 7.33–16.38 | 27.22 19.73–34.70 17.68–36.75 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.45 6.50–12.39 5.68–13.22 | 7.90 5.22–10.58 4.48–11.32 | 17.35 11.72–22.97 10.16–24.54 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.54–6.31 2.00–6.85 | 3.33 1.68–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.75 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.32 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.20–8.62 3.62–9.20 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.80–6.87 | 10.74 6.53–14.96 5.42–16.06 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 51.22 44.43–58.01 42.76–59.68 | 49.47 42.68–56.25 41.01–57.92 | — | 52% 44% |
| Passes | 469 402–536 384–554 | 456 390–522 372–540 | 925 791–1059 756–1094 | 54% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.49 66.46–74.52 65.17–75.81 | 72.71 68.38–77.03 67.08–78.34 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 10.36 7.52–13.19 6.76–13.95 | 13.65 10.70–16.59 9.95–17.34 | 24.00 18.22–29.79 16.72–31.29 | 22% 72% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.86 0.77–2.96 0.48–3.24 | 3.70 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 39% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.50–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.67 1.50–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.43–4.31 1.05–4.69 | 3.44 1.89–5.00 1.46–5.42 | 6.31 3.32–9.31 2.51–10.12 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.