Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.382.64safe0.29–2.230.53–2.240.82–4.46safer0.04–2.480.30–2.470.34–4.94
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.304.208.50safe2.43–6.162.46–5.944.89–12.10safer1.94–6.651.99–6.413.94–13.06
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6211.9924.62safe8.70–16.558.43–15.5617.13–32.10safer7.61–17.647.47–16.5215.08–34.15
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.057.9215.97safe5.11–11.005.24–10.6010.35–21.59safer4.28–11.824.50–11.348.78–23.16
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.393.276.66safe1.50–5.271.62–4.923.12–10.19safer0.96–5.811.13–5.422.09–11.23
Corners
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.649.11safe2.26–6.682.64–6.644.90–13.32safer1.68–7.262.11–7.173.79–14.43
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.3051.97safe41.51–55.0945.19–58.76safer39.84–56.7643.52–60.43
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4855331018safe418–552467–600885–1152safer400–570449–617849–1188
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction70.1876.47safe66.15–74.2172.14–80.79safer64.86–75.5070.84–82.10
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9713.1223.09safe7.13–12.8010.17–16.0617.30–28.87safer6.37–13.569.43–16.8115.80–30.37
Offsides
31%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.843.30safe0.30–2.620.75–2.931.05–5.55safer0.00–2.920.46–3.220.46–6.14
Yellow cards
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.683.14safe0.40–2.500.56–2.810.96–5.31safer0.14–2.770.26–3.100.40–5.87
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.166.07safe1.48–4.351.60–4.713.08–9.06safer1.09–4.741.17–5.142.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.47 | 2.64 0.82–4.46 0.34–4.94 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.30 2.43–6.16 1.94–6.65 | 4.20 2.46–5.94 1.99–6.41 | 8.50 4.89–12.10 3.94–13.06 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.62 8.70–16.55 7.61–17.64 | 11.99 8.43–15.56 7.47–16.52 | 24.62 17.13–32.10 15.08–34.15 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.05 5.11–11.00 4.28–11.82 | 7.92 5.24–10.60 4.50–11.34 | 15.97 10.35–21.59 8.78–23.16 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.39 1.50–5.27 0.96–5.81 | 3.27 1.62–4.92 1.13–5.42 | 6.66 3.12–10.19 2.09–11.23 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 4.47 2.26–6.68 1.68–7.26 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.11–7.17 | 9.11 4.90–13.32 3.79–14.43 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Possession % | 48.30 41.51–55.09 39.84–56.76 | 51.97 45.19–58.76 43.52–60.43 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 485 418–552 400–570 | 533 467–600 449–617 | 1018 885–1152 849–1188 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.18 66.15–74.21 64.86–75.50 | 76.47 72.14–80.79 70.84–82.10 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 9.97 7.13–12.80 6.37–13.56 | 13.12 10.17–16.06 9.43–16.81 | 23.09 17.30–28.87 15.80–30.37 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.84 0.75–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 31% 23% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 1.68 0.56–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.14 0.96–5.31 0.40–5.87 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.16 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.14 | 6.07 3.08–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.