Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.192.85safe0.69–2.630.33–2.041.03–4.67safer0.44–2.880.10–2.270.55–5.15
Shots on target
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.099.31safe3.36–7.092.34–5.835.71–12.92safer2.88–7.581.88–6.304.75–13.88
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6712.1226.80safe10.75–18.608.56–15.6819.31–34.28safer9.66–19.697.60–16.6417.26–36.33
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.467.5517.01safe6.52–12.404.87–10.2311.39–22.63safer5.69–13.234.13–10.979.82–24.20
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.267.11safe1.97–5.731.61–4.913.57–10.64safer1.42–6.271.11–5.402.54–11.68
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.434.299.72safe3.21–7.642.29–6.295.50–13.93safer2.64–8.221.76–6.824.40–15.04
Possession %
84%
14%
homeawayprediction59.4041.79safe52.61–66.1935.00–48.57safer50.94–67.8633.33–50.24
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction567392959safe500–635326–458826–1093safer482–653308–476790–1129
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction74.8470.74safe70.81–78.8766.42–75.07safer69.52–80.1765.11–76.38
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7611.9223.68safe8.93–14.608.97–14.8617.90–29.46safer8.17–15.368.22–15.6116.39–30.96
Offsides
50%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.553.62safe0.91–3.230.45–2.641.36–5.87safer0.61–3.530.17–2.930.77–6.46
Yellow cards
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.833.27safe0.39–2.490.71–2.961.10–5.45safer0.12–2.760.41–3.250.54–6.01
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
31%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.773.516.27safe1.33–4.201.95–5.063.28–9.27safer0.94–4.591.52–5.492.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 48% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.23 3.36–7.09 2.88–7.58 | 4.09 2.34–5.83 1.88–6.30 | 9.31 5.71–12.92 4.75–13.88 | 58% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.67 10.75–18.60 9.66–19.69 | 12.12 8.56–15.68 7.60–16.64 | 26.80 19.31–34.28 17.26–36.33 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.46 6.52–12.40 5.69–13.23 | 7.55 4.87–10.23 4.13–10.97 | 17.01 11.39–22.63 9.82–24.20 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.73 1.42–6.27 | 3.26 1.61–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.54–11.68 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.21–7.64 2.64–8.22 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.82 | 9.72 5.50–13.93 4.40–15.04 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 59.40 52.61–66.19 50.94–67.86 | 41.79 35.00–48.57 33.33–50.24 | — | 84% 14% |
| Passes | 567 500–635 482–653 | 392 326–458 308–476 | 959 826–1093 790–1129 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.84 70.81–78.87 69.52–80.17 | 70.74 66.42–75.07 65.11–76.38 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 11.76 8.93–14.60 8.17–15.36 | 11.92 8.97–14.86 8.22–15.61 | 23.68 17.90–29.46 16.39–30.96 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.55 0.45–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.62 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.46 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.12–2.76 | 1.83 0.71–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.27 1.10–5.45 0.54–6.01 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.77 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 3.51 1.95–5.06 1.52–5.49 | 6.27 3.28–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 31% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+