Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.683.00safe0.35–2.280.83–2.541.17–4.82safer0.10–2.530.60–2.760.69–5.30
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.275.029.29safe2.41–6.133.28–6.765.69–12.90safer1.92–6.622.81–7.234.73–13.85
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6313.3826.00safe8.70–16.559.81–16.9418.51–33.49safer7.61–17.648.85–17.9016.46–35.54
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction7.879.0416.91safe4.93–10.816.36–11.7211.28–22.53safer4.10–11.645.62–12.469.72–24.10
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.773.627.39safe1.89–5.651.96–5.273.85–10.92safer1.35–6.201.47–5.762.82–11.96
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.415.2710.69safe3.20–7.633.27–7.276.47–14.90safer2.63–8.202.74–7.815.37–16.01
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.2455.15safe38.45–52.0348.37–61.94safer36.78–53.7046.70–63.61
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction449515964safe381–516449–582830–1097safer363–534431–599794–1133
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction69.0975.55safe65.06–73.1271.22–79.87safer63.77–74.4169.91–81.18
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8812.6623.54safe8.04–13.729.71–15.6017.76–29.32safer7.29–14.478.97–16.3516.25–30.83
Offsides
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.053.58safe0.37–2.690.96–3.141.32–5.83safer0.07–2.990.67–3.430.74–6.42
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.883.46safe0.53–2.620.76–3.011.28–5.64safer0.26–2.890.46–3.300.72–6.19
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.262.986.24safe1.82–4.701.42–4.543.25–9.23safer1.44–5.081.00–4.962.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.35–2.28 0.10–2.53 | 1.68 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.76 | 3.00 1.17–4.82 0.69–5.30 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.27 2.41–6.13 1.92–6.62 | 5.02 3.28–6.76 2.81–7.23 | 9.29 5.69–12.90 4.73–13.85 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 12.63 8.70–16.55 7.61–17.64 | 13.38 9.81–16.94 8.85–17.90 | 26.00 18.51–33.49 16.46–35.54 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.87 4.93–10.81 4.10–11.64 | 9.04 6.36–11.72 5.62–12.46 | 16.91 11.28–22.53 9.72–24.10 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.65 1.35–6.20 | 3.62 1.96–5.27 1.47–5.76 | 7.39 3.85–10.92 2.82–11.96 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.20–7.63 2.63–8.20 | 5.27 3.27–7.27 2.74–7.81 | 10.69 6.47–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 45.24 38.45–52.03 36.78–53.70 | 55.15 48.37–61.94 46.70–63.61 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 449 381–516 363–534 | 515 449–582 431–599 | 964 830–1097 794–1133 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.09 65.06–73.12 63.77–74.41 | 75.55 71.22–79.87 69.91–81.18 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 10.88 8.04–13.72 7.29–14.47 | 12.66 9.71–15.60 8.97–16.35 | 23.54 17.76–29.32 16.25–30.83 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 2.05 0.96–3.14 0.67–3.43 | 3.58 1.32–5.83 0.74–6.42 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.53–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.88 0.76–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.46 1.28–5.64 0.72–6.19 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.26 1.82–4.70 1.44–5.08 | 2.98 1.42–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.44–10.05 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+