Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.532.79safe0.29–2.230.68–2.380.96–4.61safer0.04–2.480.45–2.610.49–5.09
Shots on target
36%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.304.859.14safe2.43–6.163.10–6.595.54–12.75safer1.94–6.652.64–7.054.58–13.70
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0613.1426.20safe9.14–16.999.58–16.7018.71–33.69safer8.05–18.088.62–17.6616.66–35.74
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.398.5816.97safe5.45–11.335.89–11.2611.34–22.59safer4.62–12.165.16–11.999.78–24.16
Blocked shots
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.233.436.66safe1.35–5.121.78–5.083.13–10.20safer0.81–5.661.28–5.582.09–11.23
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.085.1810.26safe2.87–7.293.18–7.186.05–14.48safer2.29–7.872.65–7.724.94–15.59
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.1852.55safe40.39–53.9745.77–59.34safer38.72–55.6444.10–61.01
Passes
37%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction420459879safe353–487392–525745–1013safer335–506375–543710–1048
Pass accuracy %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction67.9170.69safe63.88–71.9466.37–75.02safer62.59–73.2465.06–76.33
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4711.0723.53safe9.63–15.308.12–14.0117.75–29.31safer8.87–16.067.37–14.7616.24–30.82
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.793.64safe0.69–3.010.69–2.881.39–5.89safer0.39–3.310.41–3.170.80–6.48
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.823.50safe0.63–2.730.69–2.951.32–5.68safer0.36–2.990.40–3.240.76–6.23
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
44%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.142.986.12safe1.70–4.581.43–4.543.13–9.12safer1.32–4.961.00–4.962.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.53 0.68–2.38 0.45–2.61 | 2.79 0.96–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.30 2.43–6.16 1.94–6.65 | 4.85 3.10–6.59 2.64–7.05 | 9.14 5.54–12.75 4.58–13.70 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Total shots | 13.06 9.14–16.99 8.05–18.08 | 13.14 9.58–16.70 8.62–17.66 | 26.20 18.71–33.69 16.66–35.74 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 8.39 5.45–11.33 4.62–12.16 | 8.58 5.89–11.26 5.16–11.99 | 16.97 11.34–22.59 9.78–24.16 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.23 1.35–5.12 0.81–5.66 | 3.43 1.78–5.08 1.28–5.58 | 6.66 3.13–10.20 2.09–11.23 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.87–7.29 2.29–7.87 | 5.18 3.18–7.18 2.65–7.72 | 10.26 6.05–14.48 4.94–15.59 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 47.18 40.39–53.97 38.72–55.64 | 52.55 45.77–59.34 44.10–61.01 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 335–506 | 459 392–525 375–543 | 879 745–1013 710–1048 | 37% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.91 63.88–71.94 62.59–73.24 | 70.69 66.37–75.02 65.06–76.33 | — | 34% 62% |
| Fouls | 12.47 9.63–15.30 8.87–16.06 | 11.07 8.12–14.01 7.37–14.76 | 23.53 17.75–29.31 16.24–30.82 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.79 0.69–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.64 1.39–5.89 0.80–6.48 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–2.99 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.76–6.23 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.14 1.70–4.58 1.32–4.96 | 2.98 1.43–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 6.12 3.13–9.12 2.32–9.93 | 44% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.