Ligue 1·Regular Season - 26·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.092.72safe0.67–2.600.23–1.940.90–4.54safer0.41–2.850.00–2.170.42–5.02
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.273.849.10safe3.40–7.132.10–5.585.50–12.71safer2.91–7.621.63–6.054.54–13.66
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3311.5626.90safe11.41–19.268.00–15.1319.41–34.38safer10.32–20.357.04–16.0917.36–36.43
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.807.5817.38safe6.86–12.744.90–10.2611.76–23.00safer6.03–13.574.16–11.0010.19–24.57
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.996.88safe2.01–5.771.34–4.643.35–10.42safer1.46–6.320.84–5.142.31–11.45
Corners
58%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.744.6110.36safe3.53–7.962.61–6.616.14–14.57safer2.95–8.532.08–7.155.04–15.68
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.4842.52safe50.69–64.2735.73–49.30safer49.02–65.9434.06–50.97
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction494348842safe427–561282–415709–976safer409–579264–432673–1012
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction68.7865.19safe64.75–72.8160.87–69.52safer63.45–74.1059.56–70.83
Fouls
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3914.2527.64safe10.56–16.2311.31–17.2021.86–33.43safer9.80–16.9910.56–17.9420.36–34.93
Offsides
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.033.87safe0.68–3.000.94–3.131.62–6.12safer0.38–3.300.65–3.411.03–6.71
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.933.66safe0.68–2.780.80–3.061.48–5.84safer0.42–3.050.51–3.350.93–6.40
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.416.06safe1.21–4.091.86–4.973.07–9.05safer0.83–4.471.43–5.392.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.67–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 50% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.27 3.40–7.13 2.91–7.62 | 3.84 2.10–5.58 1.63–6.05 | 9.10 5.50–12.71 4.54–13.66 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.33 11.41–19.26 10.32–20.35 | 11.56 8.00–15.13 7.04–16.09 | 26.90 19.41–34.38 17.36–36.43 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.80 6.86–12.74 6.03–13.57 | 7.58 4.90–10.26 4.16–11.00 | 17.38 11.76–23.00 10.19–24.57 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.01–5.77 1.46–6.32 | 2.99 1.34–4.64 0.84–5.14 | 6.88 3.35–10.42 2.31–11.45 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.74 3.53–7.96 2.95–8.53 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.08–7.15 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 58% 31% |
| Possession % | 57.48 50.69–64.27 49.02–65.94 | 42.52 35.73–49.30 34.06–50.97 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 494 427–561 409–579 | 348 282–415 264–432 | 842 709–976 673–1012 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.78 64.75–72.81 63.45–74.10 | 65.19 60.87–69.52 59.56–70.83 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 13.39 10.56–16.23 9.80–16.99 | 14.25 11.31–17.20 10.56–17.94 | 27.64 21.86–33.43 20.36–34.93 | 40% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 2.03 0.94–3.13 0.65–3.41 | 3.87 1.62–6.12 1.03–6.71 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.09 0.83–4.47 | 3.41 1.86–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.26–9.87 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.