Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.103.02safe0.96–2.890.24–1.951.20–4.84safer0.70–3.140.01–2.180.72–5.32
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.374.1310.51safe4.51–8.242.39–5.876.90–14.11safer4.02–8.731.92–6.345.95–15.07
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3810.8727.25safe12.45–20.307.31–14.4319.76–34.73safer11.36–21.396.35–15.3917.71–36.78
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.787.2819.07safe8.84–14.734.60–9.9613.44–24.69safer8.01–15.563.86–10.7011.88–26.26
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.442.857.29safe2.56–6.321.20–4.503.75–10.82safer2.01–6.860.70–4.992.72–11.86
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.614.0210.63safe4.40–8.822.02–6.026.41–14.84safer3.82–9.401.48–6.555.31–15.95
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction57.3643.99safe50.57–64.1537.20–50.77safer48.90–65.8235.53–52.44
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5774411017safe509–644374–507884–1151safer491–662357–525848–1187
Pass accuracy %
52%
42%
homeawayprediction73.6072.63safe69.57–77.6368.30–76.95safer68.28–78.9267.00–78.26
Fouls
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6514.9025.56safe7.82–13.4911.96–17.8519.78–31.34safer7.06–14.2511.21–18.6018.27–32.84
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.863.90safe0.88–3.200.76–2.951.64–6.15safer0.58–3.500.47–3.241.06–6.74
Yellow cards
24%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.163.51safe0.30–2.401.03–3.291.33–5.69safer0.04–2.670.74–3.580.77–6.24
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
21%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.634.166.80safe1.20–4.072.61–5.723.80–9.79safer0.81–4.462.18–6.152.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.96–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 1.10 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.18 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.37 4.51–8.24 4.02–8.73 | 4.13 2.39–5.87 1.92–6.34 | 10.51 6.90–14.11 5.95–15.07 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.38 12.45–20.30 11.36–21.39 | 10.87 7.31–14.43 6.35–15.39 | 27.25 19.76–34.73 17.71–36.78 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 11.78 8.84–14.73 8.01–15.56 | 7.28 4.60–9.96 3.86–10.70 | 19.07 13.44–24.69 11.88–26.26 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.44 2.56–6.32 2.01–6.86 | 2.85 1.20–4.50 0.70–4.99 | 7.29 3.75–10.82 2.72–11.86 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.61 4.40–8.82 3.82–9.40 | 4.02 2.02–6.02 1.48–6.55 | 10.63 6.41–14.84 5.31–15.95 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 57.36 50.57–64.15 48.90–65.82 | 43.99 37.20–50.77 35.53–52.44 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 577 509–644 491–662 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 1017 884–1151 848–1187 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.60 69.57–77.63 68.28–78.92 | 72.63 68.30–76.95 67.00–78.26 | — | 52% 42% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.82–13.49 7.06–14.25 | 14.90 11.96–17.85 11.21–18.60 | 25.56 19.78–31.34 18.27–32.84 | 17% 77% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.86 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.24 | 3.90 1.64–6.15 1.06–6.74 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.77–6.24 | 24% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 4.16 2.61–5.72 2.18–6.15 | 6.80 3.80–9.79 2.99–10.60 | 21% 13% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.