Ligue 1·Regular Season - 27·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.102.73safe0.66–2.600.25–1.960.91–4.56safer0.41–2.850.02–2.190.43–5.04
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.534.239.76safe3.67–7.392.49–5.976.16–13.37safer3.18–7.882.02–6.445.20–14.32
Total shots
76%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0411.8627.90safe12.12–19.978.29–15.4220.41–35.39safer11.03–21.067.34–16.3818.36–37.44
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction10.318.4018.70safe7.36–13.255.72–11.0813.08–24.33safer6.53–14.084.98–11.8111.51–25.89
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.303.297.59safe2.42–6.181.64–4.944.06–11.13safer1.87–6.731.15–5.443.02–12.16
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.003.889.88safe3.78–8.211.88–5.885.66–14.09safer3.21–8.781.35–6.414.56–15.20
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.5240.71safe53.73–67.3133.93–47.50safer52.06–68.9832.26–49.17
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction608384992safe540–675318–450858–1125safer522–693300–468822–1161
Pass accuracy %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction72.7768.94safe68.74–76.8064.62–73.27safer67.45–78.0963.31–74.58
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4712.6324.10safe8.63–14.319.69–15.5818.32–29.88safer7.88–15.068.94–16.3216.81–31.39
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.633.47safe0.67–2.990.54–2.731.21–5.72safer0.37–3.290.25–3.020.62–6.31
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.053.48safe0.38–2.480.92–3.181.30–5.65safer0.11–2.740.63–3.470.74–6.21
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.666.48safe1.38–4.252.11–5.223.49–9.47safer0.99–4.641.68–5.642.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.73 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 50% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.67–7.39 3.18–7.88 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 9.76 6.16–13.37 5.20–14.32 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.04 12.12–19.97 11.03–21.06 | 11.86 8.29–15.42 7.34–16.38 | 27.90 20.41–35.39 18.36–37.44 | 76% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.31 7.36–13.25 6.53–14.08 | 8.40 5.72–11.08 4.98–11.81 | 18.70 13.08–24.33 11.51–25.89 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.42–6.18 1.87–6.73 | 3.29 1.64–4.94 1.15–5.44 | 7.59 4.06–11.13 3.02–12.16 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 6.00 3.78–8.21 3.21–8.78 | 3.88 1.88–5.88 1.35–6.41 | 9.88 5.66–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 60.52 53.73–67.31 52.06–68.98 | 40.71 33.93–47.50 32.26–49.17 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 608 540–675 522–693 | 384 318–450 300–468 | 992 858–1125 822–1161 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.77 68.74–76.80 67.45–78.09 | 68.94 64.62–73.27 63.31–74.58 | — | 67% 29% |
| Fouls | 11.47 8.63–14.31 7.88–15.06 | 12.63 9.69–15.58 8.94–16.32 | 24.10 18.32–29.88 16.81–31.39 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.63 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.02 | 3.47 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.48 1.30–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 3.66 2.11–5.22 1.68–5.64 | 6.48 3.49–9.47 2.67–10.28 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+