Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.433.04safe0.64–2.580.57–2.281.22–4.86safer0.39–2.830.35–2.510.74–5.34
Shots on target
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.145.0010.14safe3.27–7.003.26–6.756.53–13.74safer2.78–7.492.79–7.215.58–14.70
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3214.6828.00safe9.40–17.2411.11–18.2420.51–35.48safer8.30–18.3410.15–19.2018.46–37.53
Shots in box
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.998.9317.92safe6.05–11.936.25–11.6112.30–23.54safer5.22–12.765.51–12.3510.73–25.11
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.504.447.94safe1.61–5.382.79–6.094.40–11.47safer1.07–5.922.30–6.593.37–12.51
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.985.0210.00safe2.77–7.203.02–7.025.79–14.22safer2.20–7.772.49–7.564.68–15.33
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction53.1748.15safe46.38–59.9641.37–54.94safer44.71–61.6339.70–56.61
Passes
67%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction510456966safe443–577390–523833–1100safer425–596372–540797–1136
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction70.9375.17safe66.90–74.9670.85–79.50safer65.61–76.2669.54–80.80
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2611.2522.50safe8.42–14.108.30–14.1916.72–28.29safer7.67–14.857.55–14.9415.22–29.79
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.583.25safe0.52–2.840.48–2.671.00–5.51safer0.22–3.140.19–2.960.41–6.10
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.673.35safe0.63–2.730.54–2.791.17–5.52safer0.37–3.000.24–3.090.61–6.08
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.383.246.62safe1.95–4.821.68–4.803.63–9.61safer1.56–5.211.26–5.222.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.43 0.57–2.28 0.35–2.51 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.14 3.27–7.00 2.78–7.49 | 5.00 3.26–6.75 2.79–7.21 | 10.14 6.53–13.74 5.58–14.70 | 45% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.32 9.40–17.24 8.30–18.34 | 14.68 11.11–18.24 10.15–19.20 | 28.00 20.51–35.48 18.46–37.53 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 8.99 6.05–11.93 5.22–12.76 | 8.93 6.25–11.61 5.51–12.35 | 17.92 12.30–23.54 10.73–25.11 | 46% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.61–5.38 1.07–5.92 | 4.44 2.79–6.09 2.30–6.59 | 7.94 4.40–11.47 3.37–12.51 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.77–7.20 2.20–7.77 | 5.02 3.02–7.02 2.49–7.56 | 10.00 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.33 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 53.17 46.38–59.96 44.71–61.63 | 48.15 41.37–54.94 39.70–56.61 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 510 443–577 425–596 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 966 833–1100 797–1136 | 67% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.93 66.90–74.96 65.61–76.26 | 75.17 70.85–79.50 69.54–80.80 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 11.26 8.42–14.10 7.67–14.85 | 11.25 8.30–14.19 7.55–14.94 | 22.50 16.72–28.29 15.22–29.79 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.58 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.96 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 1.67 0.54–2.79 0.24–3.09 | 3.35 1.17–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.95–4.82 1.56–5.21 | 3.24 1.68–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.82–10.43 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+