Ligue 1·Regular Season - 28·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.152.89safe0.77–2.700.30–2.011.06–4.71safer0.52–2.950.07–2.230.58–5.19
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.453.919.35safe3.59–7.312.16–5.655.75–12.96safer3.10–7.801.70–6.114.79–13.91
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1111.2527.36safe12.19–20.047.69–14.8119.87–34.85safer11.09–21.136.73–15.7717.82–36.90
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.056.8816.93safe7.11–13.004.19–9.5611.31–22.55safer6.28–13.833.46–10.299.74–24.12
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.043.027.06safe2.16–5.931.37–4.673.53–10.60safer1.62–6.470.87–5.162.49–11.63
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.904.2510.15safe3.69–8.122.25–6.255.94–14.37safer3.11–8.691.72–6.784.83–15.47
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.4052.72safe40.61–54.1945.94–59.51safer38.94–55.8644.27–61.18
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction420472892safe353–487405–538758–1026safer335–505388–556723–1061
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction68.5672.54safe64.53–72.5968.21–76.86safer63.24–73.8866.91–78.17
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5113.3725.89safe9.68–15.3510.43–16.3220.11–31.67safer8.92–16.119.68–17.0718.60–33.17
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.773.85safe0.93–3.250.67–2.861.60–6.11safer0.63–3.550.38–3.151.01–6.70
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.913.60safe0.64–2.740.78–3.041.43–5.78safer0.38–3.010.49–3.330.87–6.34
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.476.10safe1.19–4.071.92–5.033.11–9.10safer0.81–4.451.49–5.452.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.77–2.70 0.52–2.95 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.23 | 2.89 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.45 3.59–7.31 3.10–7.80 | 3.91 2.16–5.65 1.70–6.11 | 9.35 5.75–12.96 4.79–13.91 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.11 12.19–20.04 11.09–21.13 | 11.25 7.69–14.81 6.73–15.77 | 27.36 19.87–34.85 17.82–36.90 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.05 7.11–13.00 6.28–13.83 | 6.88 4.19–9.56 3.46–10.29 | 16.93 11.31–22.55 9.74–24.12 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 3.02 1.37–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 7.06 3.53–10.60 2.49–11.63 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.90 3.69–8.12 3.11–8.69 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.72–6.78 | 10.15 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.47 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 47.40 40.61–54.19 38.94–55.86 | 52.72 45.94–59.51 44.27–61.18 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 335–505 | 472 405–538 388–556 | 892 758–1026 723–1061 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.56 64.53–72.59 63.24–73.88 | 72.54 68.21–76.86 66.91–78.17 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 12.51 9.68–15.35 8.92–16.11 | 13.37 10.43–16.32 9.68–17.07 | 25.89 20.11–31.67 18.60–33.17 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.63–3.55 | 1.77 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.15 | 3.85 1.60–6.11 1.01–6.70 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.60 1.43–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.07 0.81–4.45 | 3.47 1.92–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 6.10 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.