Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.232.81safe0.61–2.550.38–2.090.99–4.63safer0.36–2.800.15–2.320.51–5.11
Shots on target
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.403.849.24safe3.54–7.262.10–5.595.64–12.85safer3.05–7.751.63–6.054.68–13.81
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7011.3327.02safe11.77–19.627.76–14.8919.53–34.51safer10.68–20.716.80–15.8517.48–36.56
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.957.1817.13safe7.01–12.904.49–9.8611.51–22.75safer6.18–13.733.76–10.599.94–24.32
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.253.367.61safe2.37–6.131.71–5.014.07–11.14safer1.82–6.671.21–5.513.04–12.18
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.593.989.57safe3.37–7.801.98–5.985.36–13.78safer2.80–8.371.45–6.524.25–14.89
Possession %
47%
49%
homeawayprediction49.5249.89safe42.73–56.3143.11–56.68safer41.06–57.9841.44–58.35
Passes
46%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4975081005safe430–564441–574871–1138safer412–582424–592835–1174
Pass accuracy %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction70.8673.42safe66.83–74.8969.10–77.75safer65.53–76.1867.79–79.05
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5811.4722.05safe7.74–13.428.52–14.4116.26–27.83safer6.99–14.177.77–15.1614.76–29.33
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.963.58safe0.46–2.780.87–3.061.33–5.84safer0.16–3.080.58–3.350.74–6.42
Yellow cards
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.573.09safe0.47–2.570.44–2.700.92–5.27safer0.21–2.840.15–2.990.36–5.83
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.666.26safe1.16–4.032.11–5.223.26–9.25safer0.77–4.421.68–5.652.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.40 3.54–7.26 3.05–7.75 | 3.84 2.10–5.59 1.63–6.05 | 9.24 5.64–12.85 4.68–13.81 | 64% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.70 11.77–19.62 10.68–20.71 | 11.33 7.76–14.89 6.80–15.85 | 27.02 19.53–34.51 17.48–36.56 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.95 7.01–12.90 6.18–13.73 | 7.18 4.49–9.86 3.76–10.59 | 17.13 11.51–22.75 9.94–24.32 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.25 2.37–6.13 1.82–6.67 | 3.36 1.71–5.01 1.21–5.51 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.04–12.18 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.37–7.80 2.80–8.37 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.45–6.52 | 9.57 5.36–13.78 4.25–14.89 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 49.52 42.73–56.31 41.06–57.98 | 49.89 43.11–56.68 41.44–58.35 | — | 47% 49% |
| Passes | 497 430–564 412–582 | 508 441–574 424–592 | 1005 871–1138 835–1174 | 46% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.86 66.83–74.89 65.53–76.18 | 73.42 69.10–77.75 67.79–79.05 | — | 35% 61% |
| Fouls | 10.58 7.74–13.42 6.99–14.17 | 11.47 8.52–14.41 7.77–15.16 | 22.05 16.26–27.83 14.76–29.33 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.96 0.87–3.06 0.58–3.35 | 3.58 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.42 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 1.57 0.44–2.70 0.15–2.99 | 3.09 0.92–5.27 0.36–5.83 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 3.66 2.11–5.22 1.68–5.65 | 6.26 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.