Ligue 1·Regular Season - 28·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.900.913.81safe1.93–3.860.06–1.771.99–5.63safer1.68–4.120.00–1.991.51–6.11
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction8.043.3511.39safe6.18–9.911.61–5.097.79–15.00safer5.69–10.401.14–5.566.83–15.95
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.738.2428.98safe16.81–24.664.68–11.8021.49–36.46safer15.72–25.753.72–12.7619.44–38.51
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.835.7919.62safe10.89–16.773.11–8.4714.00–25.24safer10.06–17.602.37–9.2112.43–26.81
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.602.137.73safe3.72–7.480.47–3.784.19–11.27safer3.18–8.030.00–4.273.16–12.30
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.242.6910.92safe6.02–10.450.69–4.696.71–15.14safer5.45–11.020.15–5.225.60–16.24
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.3232.23safe60.53–74.1125.45–39.02safer58.86–75.7823.78–40.69
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7353671101safe667–802300–433968–1235safer649–820283–451932–1271
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction84.1270.65safe80.09–88.1566.32–74.97safer78.80–89.4465.01–76.28
Fouls
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction10.268.9619.21safe7.42–13.106.01–11.9013.43–25.00safer6.66–13.855.26–12.6511.93–26.50
Offsides
42%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.272.194.46safe1.11–3.431.10–3.282.21–6.71safer0.81–3.730.81–3.571.62–7.30
Yellow cards
24%
25%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.622.65safe0.00–2.080.49–2.750.47–4.82safer0.00–2.340.20–3.040.00–5.38
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.285.097.37safe0.84–3.713.54–6.654.38–10.36safer0.46–4.103.11–7.073.57–11.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.90 1.93–3.86 1.68–4.12 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–1.99 | 3.81 1.99–5.63 1.51–6.11 | 78% 13% |
| Shots on target | 8.04 6.18–9.91 5.69–10.40 | 3.35 1.61–5.09 1.14–5.56 | 11.39 7.79–15.00 6.83–15.95 | 90% |
| Total shots | 20.73 16.81–24.66 15.72–25.75 | 8.24 4.68–11.80 3.72–12.76 | 28.98 21.49–36.46 19.44–38.51 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.83 10.89–16.77 10.06–17.60 | 5.79 3.11–8.47 2.37–9.21 | 19.62 14.00–25.24 12.43–26.81 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.60 3.72–7.48 3.18–8.03 | 2.13 0.47–3.78 0.00–4.27 | 7.73 4.19–11.27 3.16–12.30 | 86% |
| Corners | 8.24 6.02–10.45 5.45–11.02 | 2.69 0.69–4.69 0.15–5.22 | 10.92 6.71–15.14 5.60–16.24 | 94% |
| Possession % | 67.32 60.53–74.11 58.86–75.78 | 32.23 25.45–39.02 23.78–40.69 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 735 667–802 649–820 | 367 300–433 283–451 | 1101 968–1235 932–1271 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.12 80.09–88.15 78.80–89.44 | 70.65 66.32–74.97 65.01–76.28 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.26 7.42–13.10 6.66–13.85 | 8.96 6.01–11.90 5.26–12.65 | 19.21 13.43–25.00 11.93–26.50 | 57% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.27 1.11–3.43 0.81–3.73 | 2.19 1.10–3.28 0.81–3.57 | 4.46 2.21–6.71 1.62–7.30 | 42% 20% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.03 0.00–2.08 0.00–2.34 | 1.62 0.49–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 2.65 0.47–4.82 0.00–5.38 | 24% 25% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.84–3.71 0.46–4.10 | 5.09 3.54–6.65 3.11–7.07 | 7.37 4.38–10.36 3.57–11.18 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.