Ligue 1·Regular Season - 28·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.370.883.24safe1.40–3.330.02–1.731.42–5.07safer1.15–3.580.00–1.960.94–5.55
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.693.3110.01safe4.83–8.561.57–5.066.40–13.61safer4.34–9.051.11–5.525.45–14.57
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.999.8028.78safe15.06–22.916.24–13.3621.30–36.27safer13.97–24.005.28–14.3219.25–38.32
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.876.6419.51safe9.93–15.813.96–9.3213.88–25.13safer9.10–16.643.22–10.0612.32–26.70
Blocked shots
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.212.647.85safe3.32–7.090.99–4.304.32–11.39safer2.78–7.630.50–4.793.28–12.42
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.884.0510.93safe4.67–9.092.05–6.056.72–15.15safer4.09–9.671.52–6.595.61–16.25
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.7734.22safe59.98–73.5627.43–41.00safer58.31–75.2325.76–42.67
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction591300892safe524–659234–367758–1025safer506–677216–384722–1061
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction74.5263.12safe70.49–78.5558.79–67.44safer69.20–79.8457.48–68.75
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8513.0324.87safe9.01–14.6810.08–15.9719.09–30.66safer8.25–15.449.33–16.7217.59–32.16
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.523.37safe0.69–3.020.43–2.611.12–5.63safer0.39–3.320.14–2.900.53–6.22
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.123.49safe0.32–2.420.99–3.251.31–5.66safer0.05–2.680.70–3.540.75–6.22
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.404.256.65safe0.96–3.832.69–5.813.66–9.64safer0.57–4.222.27–6.232.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.37 1.40–3.33 1.15–3.58 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 3.24 1.42–5.07 0.94–5.55 | 70% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.69 4.83–8.56 4.34–9.05 | 3.31 1.57–5.06 1.11–5.52 | 10.01 6.40–13.61 5.45–14.57 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.99 15.06–22.91 13.97–24.00 | 9.80 6.24–13.36 5.28–14.32 | 28.78 21.30–36.27 19.25–38.32 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.87 9.93–15.81 9.10–16.64 | 6.64 3.96–9.32 3.22–10.06 | 19.51 13.88–25.13 12.32–26.70 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.21 3.32–7.09 2.78–7.63 | 2.64 0.99–4.30 0.50–4.79 | 7.85 4.32–11.39 3.28–12.42 | 77% 13% |
| Corners | 6.88 4.67–9.09 4.09–9.67 | 4.05 2.05–6.05 1.52–6.59 | 10.93 6.72–15.15 5.61–16.25 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 66.77 59.98–73.56 58.31–75.23 | 34.22 27.43–41.00 25.76–42.67 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 591 524–659 506–677 | 300 234–367 216–384 | 892 758–1025 722–1061 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.52 70.49–78.55 69.20–79.84 | 63.12 58.79–67.44 57.48–68.75 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 11.85 9.01–14.68 8.25–15.44 | 13.03 10.08–15.97 9.33–16.72 | 24.87 19.09–30.66 17.59–32.16 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.02 0.39–3.32 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.49 1.31–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 4.25 2.69–5.81 2.27–6.23 | 6.65 3.66–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.