Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.542.93safe0.41–2.350.69–2.401.10–4.75safer0.16–2.600.46–2.630.62–5.23
Shots on target
42%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.699.30safe2.75–6.472.94–6.435.69–12.90safer2.26–6.962.48–6.894.74–13.86
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0113.6427.65safe10.08–17.9310.08–17.2120.16–35.14safer8.99–19.029.12–18.1718.11–37.19
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.029.4918.51safe6.08–11.976.80–12.1712.89–24.13safer5.25–12.796.07–12.9011.32–25.70
Blocked shots
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.403.486.88safe1.52–5.281.83–5.133.34–10.41safer0.97–5.831.33–5.622.31–11.45
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.685.099.77safe2.46–6.893.09–7.095.55–13.98safer1.89–7.462.56–7.624.45–15.09
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.3446.85safe47.55–61.1340.07–53.64safer45.88–62.8038.39–55.31
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction497406903safe430–564339–472769–1036safer412–582322–490733–1072
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction71.0870.96safe67.05–75.1166.63–75.28safer65.76–76.4065.33–76.59
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4612.9226.39safe10.62–16.309.98–15.8720.60–32.17safer9.87–17.059.23–16.6219.10–33.67
Offsides
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.064.00safe0.78–3.100.97–3.161.75–6.26safer0.48–3.400.68–3.441.16–6.85
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.153.86safe0.66–2.761.02–3.281.68–6.04safer0.39–3.030.73–3.571.12–6.59
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.133.206.33safe1.69–4.561.64–4.763.34–9.32safer1.30–4.951.22–5.182.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.63 | 2.93 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.47 2.26–6.96 | 4.69 2.94–6.43 2.48–6.89 | 9.30 5.69–12.90 4.74–13.86 | 42% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 14.01 10.08–17.93 8.99–19.02 | 13.64 10.08–17.21 9.12–18.17 | 27.65 20.16–35.14 18.11–37.19 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 9.02 6.08–11.97 5.25–12.79 | 9.49 6.80–12.17 6.07–12.90 | 18.51 12.89–24.13 11.32–25.70 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.40 1.52–5.28 0.97–5.83 | 3.48 1.83–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 6.88 3.34–10.41 2.31–11.45 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 4.68 2.46–6.89 1.89–7.46 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.56–7.62 | 9.77 5.55–13.98 4.45–15.09 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 54.34 47.55–61.13 45.88–62.80 | 46.85 40.07–53.64 38.39–55.31 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 497 430–564 412–582 | 406 339–472 322–490 | 903 769–1036 733–1072 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.08 67.05–75.11 65.76–76.40 | 70.96 66.63–75.28 65.33–76.59 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 13.46 10.62–16.30 9.87–17.05 | 12.92 9.98–15.87 9.23–16.62 | 26.39 20.60–32.17 19.10–33.67 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 2.06 0.97–3.16 0.68–3.44 | 4.00 1.75–6.26 1.16–6.85 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.03 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.12–6.59 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 3.20 1.64–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+