Ligue 1·Regular Season - 29·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.872.813.68safe0.00–1.841.96–3.671.86–5.51safer0.00–2.091.73–3.901.38–5.99
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction3.117.7910.90safe1.24–4.976.05–9.547.30–14.51safer0.76–5.465.59–10.006.34–15.46
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction8.1819.5227.70safe4.25–12.1015.96–23.0820.21–35.19safer3.16–13.1915.00–24.0418.16–37.24
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction5.3513.5618.90safe2.41–8.2910.87–16.2413.28–24.53safer1.58–9.1210.14–16.9711.71–26.09
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction2.325.337.65safe0.44–4.203.68–6.984.11–11.19safer0.00–4.753.18–7.473.08–12.22
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.296.669.95safe1.08–5.504.66–8.665.73–14.16safer0.50–6.084.12–9.194.63–15.27
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction30.9370.68safe24.14–37.7263.89–77.46safer22.47–39.3962.22–79.13
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3617591120safe294–428693–826987–1254safer276–446675–843951–1290
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction65.6486.61safe61.61–69.6682.29–90.94safer60.31–70.9680.98–92.25
Fouls
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4210.9920.41safe6.58–12.268.05–13.9414.63–26.20safer5.83–13.017.30–14.6913.13–27.70
Offsides
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.914.09safe1.03–3.350.81–3.001.84–6.35safer0.72–3.650.53–3.291.25–6.94
Yellow cards
39%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.242.56safe0.27–2.370.11–2.370.38–4.74safer0.01–2.640.00–2.660.00–5.30
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.852.157.00safe3.42–6.290.59–3.704.01–9.99safer3.03–6.680.17–4.133.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 2.81 1.96–3.67 1.73–3.90 | 3.68 1.86–5.51 1.38–5.99 | 14% 78% |
| Shots on target | 3.11 1.24–4.97 0.76–5.46 | 7.79 6.05–9.54 5.59–10.00 | 10.90 7.30–14.51 6.34–15.46 | 90% |
| Total shots | 8.18 4.25–12.10 3.16–13.19 | 19.52 15.96–23.08 15.00–24.04 | 27.70 20.21–35.19 18.16–37.24 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 5.35 2.41–8.29 1.58–9.12 | 13.56 10.87–16.24 10.14–16.97 | 18.90 13.28–24.53 11.71–26.09 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 2.32 0.44–4.20 0.00–4.75 | 5.33 3.68–6.98 3.18–7.47 | 7.65 4.11–11.19 3.08–12.22 | 82% |
| Corners | 3.29 1.08–5.50 0.50–6.08 | 6.66 4.66–8.66 4.12–9.19 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 82% |
| Possession % | 30.93 24.14–37.72 22.47–39.39 | 70.68 63.89–77.46 62.22–79.13 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 361 294–428 276–446 | 759 693–826 675–843 | 1120 987–1254 951–1290 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.64 61.61–69.66 60.31–70.96 | 86.61 82.29–90.94 80.98–92.25 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 9.42 6.58–12.26 5.83–13.01 | 10.99 8.05–13.94 7.30–14.69 | 20.41 14.63–26.20 13.13–27.70 | 32% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.19 1.03–3.35 0.72–3.65 | 1.91 0.81–3.00 0.53–3.29 | 4.09 1.84–6.35 1.25–6.94 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.01–2.64 | 1.24 0.11–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 2.56 0.38–4.74 0.00–5.30 | 39% 27% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.85 3.42–6.29 3.03–6.68 | 2.15 0.59–3.70 0.17–4.13 | 7.00 4.01–9.99 3.20–10.81 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.