Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.152.82safe0.70–2.640.30–2.011.00–4.64safer0.45–2.890.07–2.240.52–5.12
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.464.119.57safe3.60–7.322.36–5.855.96–13.17safer3.11–7.811.90–6.325.01–14.13
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8811.8627.75safe11.96–19.818.30–15.4320.26–35.23safer10.87–20.907.34–16.3918.21–37.28
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.227.6017.83safe7.28–13.164.92–10.2912.20–23.45safer6.45–13.994.19–11.0210.64–25.02
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.193.107.29safe2.31–6.081.44–4.753.75–10.82safer1.77–6.620.95–5.242.72–11.86
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.934.0810.01safe3.71–8.142.08–6.085.80–14.22safer3.14–8.711.55–6.624.69–15.33
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.6440.47safe53.85–67.4333.69–47.26safer52.18–69.1032.01–48.93
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction584373956safe516–651306–439823–1090safer498–669289–457787–1126
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction71.1867.83safe67.15–75.2163.51–72.15safer65.86–76.5062.20–73.46
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9212.6922.61safe7.09–12.769.74–15.6316.83–28.39safer6.33–13.528.99–16.3815.32–29.90
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.623.35safe0.57–2.890.52–2.711.09–5.60safer0.27–3.190.23–3.000.51–6.19
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.813.26safe0.40–2.500.68–2.941.08–5.43safer0.13–2.760.39–3.230.52–5.99
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.743.766.50safe1.30–4.172.21–5.323.51–9.49safer0.91–4.561.78–5.742.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 49% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.46 3.60–7.32 3.11–7.81 | 4.11 2.36–5.85 1.90–6.32 | 9.57 5.96–13.17 5.01–14.13 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.88 11.96–19.81 10.87–20.90 | 11.86 8.30–15.43 7.34–16.39 | 27.75 20.26–35.23 18.21–37.28 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.22 7.28–13.16 6.45–13.99 | 7.60 4.92–10.29 4.19–11.02 | 17.83 12.20–23.45 10.64–25.02 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.31–6.08 1.77–6.62 | 3.10 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 7.29 3.75–10.82 2.72–11.86 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.93 3.71–8.14 3.14–8.71 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.55–6.62 | 10.01 5.80–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 60.64 53.85–67.43 52.18–69.10 | 40.47 33.69–47.26 32.01–48.93 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 584 516–651 498–669 | 373 306–439 289–457 | 956 823–1090 787–1126 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.18 67.15–75.21 65.86–76.50 | 67.83 63.51–72.15 62.20–73.46 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 9.92 7.09–12.76 6.33–13.52 | 12.69 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.38 | 22.61 16.83–28.39 15.32–29.90 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.62 0.52–2.71 0.23–3.00 | 3.35 1.09–5.60 0.51–6.19 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.13–2.76 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.26 1.08–5.43 0.52–5.99 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 3.76 2.21–5.32 1.78–5.74 | 6.50 3.51–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.