Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
23%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.832.88safe0.08–2.020.98–2.681.05–4.70safer0.00–2.270.75–2.910.58–5.18
Shots on target
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.455.118.56safe1.59–5.313.37–6.854.95–12.16safer1.10–5.802.90–7.324.00–13.12
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0313.7224.75safe7.10–14.9510.16–17.2817.26–32.24safer6.01–16.059.20–18.2415.21–34.29
Shots in box
24%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction7.179.5516.71safe4.22–10.116.86–12.2311.09–22.33safer3.39–10.946.13–12.969.52–23.90
Blocked shots
23%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.734.186.91safe0.84–4.612.53–5.843.37–10.44safer0.30–5.152.04–6.332.34–11.48
Corners
29%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.525.8310.35safe2.31–6.733.83–7.836.14–14.56safer1.73–7.313.30–8.365.03–15.67
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.4258.86safe34.63–48.2152.08–65.65safer32.96–49.8850.41–67.32
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction366504870safe298–433438–571736–1004safer280–451420–588701–1039
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction65.6475.49safe61.61–69.6771.16–79.81safer60.32–70.9669.85–81.12
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3310.5723.90safe10.49–16.177.63–13.5218.12–29.68safer9.74–16.926.88–14.2616.61–31.19
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.863.63safe0.61–2.930.77–2.951.38–5.89safer0.31–3.240.48–3.240.79–6.48
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.703.60safe0.84–2.940.57–2.831.42–5.77safer0.58–3.210.28–3.120.86–6.33
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.080.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.270.00–0.55safer0.00–0.430.00–0.400.00–0.84
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.332.645.97safe1.89–4.761.08–4.202.98–8.96safer1.50–5.150.66–4.622.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 1.83 0.98–2.68 0.75–2.91 | 2.88 1.05–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 21% 23% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.45 1.59–5.31 1.10–5.80 | 5.11 3.37–6.85 2.90–7.32 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 23% 65% |
| Total shots | 11.03 7.10–14.95 6.01–16.05 | 13.72 10.16–17.28 9.20–18.24 | 24.75 17.26–32.24 15.21–34.29 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 7.17 4.22–10.11 3.39–10.94 | 9.55 6.86–12.23 6.13–12.96 | 16.71 11.09–22.33 9.52–23.90 | 24% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 2.73 0.84–4.61 0.30–5.15 | 4.18 2.53–5.84 2.04–6.33 | 6.91 3.37–10.44 2.34–11.48 | 23% 13% 64% |
| Corners | 4.52 2.31–6.73 1.73–7.31 | 5.83 3.83–7.83 3.30–8.36 | 10.35 6.14–14.56 5.03–15.67 | 29% 60% |
| Possession % | 41.42 34.63–48.21 32.96–49.88 | 58.86 52.08–65.65 50.41–67.32 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 366 298–433 280–451 | 504 438–571 420–588 | 870 736–1004 701–1039 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.64 61.61–69.67 60.32–70.96 | 75.49 71.16–79.81 69.85–81.12 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 13.33 10.49–16.17 9.74–16.92 | 10.57 7.63–13.52 6.88–14.26 | 23.90 18.12–29.68 16.61–31.19 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.24 | 1.86 0.77–2.95 0.48–3.24 | 3.63 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.60 1.42–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 2.64 1.08–4.20 0.66–4.62 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+