Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.702.84safe0.17–2.110.85–2.551.02–4.66safer0.00–2.360.62–2.780.54–5.14
Shots on target
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.035.009.03safe2.17–5.893.26–6.745.43–12.64safer1.68–6.382.79–7.214.47–13.59
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3113.9326.24safe8.38–16.2310.37–17.4918.75–33.73safer7.29–17.329.41–18.4516.70–35.78
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.349.0916.42safe4.40–10.286.40–11.7710.80–22.05safer3.57–11.115.67–12.509.23–23.61
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.423.797.22safe1.54–5.312.14–5.443.68–10.75safer1.00–5.851.65–5.942.64–11.79
Corners
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.524.869.38safe2.31–6.742.86–6.865.17–13.60safer1.73–7.312.33–7.404.06–14.71
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.4557.64safe35.66–49.2450.85–64.42safer33.99–50.9149.18–66.09
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction401535936safe333–468469–602802–1070safer315–486451–619767–1105
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction64.1975.24safe60.16–68.2270.92–79.57safer58.87–69.5169.61–80.88
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3012.5224.82safe9.46–15.139.58–15.4719.04–30.60safer8.70–15.898.83–16.2217.53–32.11
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.953.52safe0.40–2.720.86–3.051.26–5.77safer0.10–3.020.57–3.330.67–6.36
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.953.83safe0.84–2.940.82–3.071.66–6.01safer0.57–3.200.53–3.371.10–6.57
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.442.836.27safe2.00–4.871.28–4.393.28–9.26safer1.61–5.260.85–4.812.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.70 0.85–2.55 0.62–2.78 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.03 2.17–5.89 1.68–6.38 | 5.00 3.26–6.74 2.79–7.21 | 9.03 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.59 | 31% 56% |
| Total shots | 12.31 8.38–16.23 7.29–17.32 | 13.93 10.37–17.49 9.41–18.45 | 26.24 18.75–33.73 16.70–35.78 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.34 4.40–10.28 3.57–11.11 | 9.09 6.40–11.77 5.67–12.50 | 16.42 10.80–22.05 9.23–23.61 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.54–5.31 1.00–5.85 | 3.79 2.14–5.44 1.65–5.94 | 7.22 3.68–10.75 2.64–11.79 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 4.52 2.31–6.74 1.73–7.31 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.33–7.40 | 9.38 5.17–13.60 4.06–14.71 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Possession % | 42.45 35.66–49.24 33.99–50.91 | 57.64 50.85–64.42 49.18–66.09 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 401 333–468 315–486 | 535 469–602 451–619 | 936 802–1070 767–1105 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.19 60.16–68.22 58.87–69.51 | 75.24 70.92–79.57 69.61–80.88 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.30 9.46–15.13 8.70–15.89 | 12.52 9.58–15.47 8.83–16.22 | 24.82 19.04–30.60 17.53–32.11 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.95 0.86–3.05 0.57–3.33 | 3.52 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 1.95 0.82–3.07 0.53–3.37 | 3.83 1.66–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.44 2.00–4.87 1.61–5.26 | 2.83 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.81 | 6.27 3.28–9.26 2.47–10.08 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.