Ligue 1·Regular Season - 30·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
88%
homeawaytotalprediction3.460.684.15safe2.50–4.430.00–1.542.32–5.97safer2.24–4.680.00–1.771.84–6.45
Shots on target
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.912.7111.62safe7.05–10.770.97–4.468.02–15.23safer6.56–11.260.51–4.927.06–16.18
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction23.237.6230.84safe19.30–27.154.05–11.1823.35–38.33safer18.21–28.243.09–12.1421.30–40.38
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.825.5421.36safe12.88–18.762.86–8.2215.74–26.98safer12.05–19.592.12–8.9614.17–28.55
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.172.258.43safe4.29–8.050.60–3.914.89–11.96safer3.75–8.600.11–4.403.85–13.00
Corners
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.632.8111.44safe6.41–10.840.81–4.817.23–15.65safer5.84–11.410.28–5.356.12–16.76
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.2130.44safe62.42–76.0023.65–37.22safer60.75–77.6721.98–38.89
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7603351094safe693–827268–401961–1228safer675–845251–419925–1264
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction83.6169.64safe79.58–87.6465.32–73.96safer78.29–88.9464.01–75.27
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.189.4818.65safe6.34–12.026.53–12.4212.87–24.44safer5.58–12.775.78–13.1711.37–25.94
Offsides
45%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.874.00safe0.97–3.290.77–2.961.75–6.25safer0.67–3.590.49–3.251.16–6.84
Yellow cards
19%
25%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.831.632.46safe0.00–1.880.50–2.760.28–4.64safer0.00–2.150.21–3.050.00–5.20
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
86%
homeawaytotalprediction2.135.507.63safe0.69–3.573.94–7.064.64–10.62safer0.31–3.953.52–7.483.83–11.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.46 2.50–4.43 2.24–4.68 | 0.68 0.00–1.54 0.00–1.77 | 4.15 2.32–5.97 1.84–6.45 | 88% |
| Shots on target | 8.91 7.05–10.77 6.56–11.26 | 2.71 0.97–4.46 0.51–4.92 | 11.62 8.02–15.23 7.06–16.18 | 96% |
| Total shots | 23.23 19.30–27.15 18.21–28.24 | 7.62 4.05–11.18 3.09–12.14 | 30.84 23.35–38.33 21.30–40.38 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.82 12.88–18.76 12.05–19.59 | 5.54 2.86–8.22 2.12–8.96 | 21.36 15.74–26.98 14.17–28.55 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 6.17 4.29–8.05 3.75–8.60 | 2.25 0.60–3.91 0.11–4.40 | 8.43 4.89–11.96 3.85–13.00 | 89% |
| Corners | 8.63 6.41–10.84 5.84–11.41 | 2.81 0.81–4.81 0.28–5.35 | 11.44 7.23–15.65 6.12–16.76 | 95% |
| Possession % | 69.21 62.42–76.00 60.75–77.67 | 30.44 23.65–37.22 21.98–38.89 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 760 693–827 675–845 | 335 268–401 251–419 | 1094 961–1228 925–1264 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.61 79.58–87.64 78.29–88.94 | 69.64 65.32–73.96 64.01–75.27 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 9.18 6.34–12.02 5.58–12.77 | 9.48 6.53–12.42 5.78–13.17 | 18.65 12.87–24.44 11.37–25.94 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.13 0.97–3.29 0.67–3.59 | 1.87 0.77–2.96 0.49–3.25 | 4.00 1.75–6.25 1.16–6.84 | 45% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 0.83 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.15 | 1.63 0.50–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 2.46 0.28–4.64 0.00–5.20 | 19% 25% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.13 0.69–3.57 0.31–3.95 | 5.50 3.94–7.06 3.52–7.48 | 7.63 4.64–10.62 3.83–11.44 | 86% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.