Ligue 1·Regular Season - 30·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.522.93safe0.45–2.380.66–2.371.11–4.75safer0.20–2.640.43–2.600.63–5.23
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.885.059.92safe3.01–6.743.31–6.796.32–13.53safer2.52–7.232.84–7.265.36–14.49
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9713.3327.30safe10.05–17.899.77–16.8919.81–34.79safer8.95–18.998.81–17.8517.76–36.84
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.848.4617.30safe5.90–11.785.78–11.1411.67–22.92safer5.07–12.615.04–11.8810.11–24.49
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.553.517.06safe1.66–5.431.86–5.163.52–10.59safer1.12–5.971.37–5.662.49–11.63
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.464.6910.15safe3.25–7.682.69–6.695.94–14.36safer2.68–8.252.15–7.224.83–15.47
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction49.8649.65safe43.07–56.6542.87–56.43safer41.40–58.3241.19–58.11
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction497485982safe430–565418–551849–1116safer412–583401–569813–1152
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction72.6574.95safe68.62–76.6870.62–79.27safer67.33–77.9869.31–80.58
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3311.2224.56safe10.50–16.178.28–14.1718.78–30.34safer9.74–16.937.53–14.9217.27–31.85
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.893.72safe0.67–2.990.80–2.991.47–5.98safer0.37–3.290.51–3.270.88–6.57
Yellow cards
33%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.943.56safe0.57–2.670.81–3.071.38–5.74safer0.30–2.930.52–3.360.82–6.29
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.133.236.36safe1.69–4.561.68–4.793.36–9.35safer1.30–4.951.25–5.212.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.38 0.20–2.64 | 1.52 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.01–6.74 2.52–7.23 | 5.05 3.31–6.79 2.84–7.26 | 9.92 6.32–13.53 5.36–14.49 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.97 10.05–17.89 8.95–18.99 | 13.33 9.77–16.89 8.81–17.85 | 27.30 19.81–34.79 17.76–36.84 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.84 5.90–11.78 5.07–12.61 | 8.46 5.78–11.14 5.04–11.88 | 17.30 11.67–22.92 10.11–24.49 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.66–5.43 1.12–5.97 | 3.51 1.86–5.16 1.37–5.66 | 7.06 3.52–10.59 2.49–11.63 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.25–7.68 2.68–8.25 | 4.69 2.69–6.69 2.15–7.22 | 10.15 5.94–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 49.86 43.07–56.65 41.40–58.32 | 49.65 42.87–56.43 41.19–58.11 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 497 430–565 412–583 | 485 418–551 401–569 | 982 849–1116 813–1152 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.65 68.62–76.68 67.33–77.98 | 74.95 70.62–79.27 69.31–80.58 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 13.33 10.50–16.17 9.74–16.93 | 11.22 8.28–14.17 7.53–14.92 | 24.56 18.78–30.34 17.27–31.85 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.27 | 3.72 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.82–6.29 | 33% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 6.36 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.