Ligue 1·Regular Season - 30·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
25%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.542.70safe0.19–2.130.69–2.400.88–4.53safer0.00–2.380.46–2.630.40–5.01
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.705.419.10safe1.83–5.563.67–7.155.50–12.71safer1.34–6.053.20–7.624.54–13.67
Total shots
26%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2015.1327.33safe8.28–16.1311.56–18.6919.84–34.82safer7.19–17.2210.60–19.6517.79–36.87
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8310.0717.90safe4.88–10.777.39–12.7512.27–23.52safer4.05–11.606.65–13.4910.71–25.09
Blocked shots
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.093.236.31safe1.20–4.971.57–4.882.78–9.85safer0.66–5.511.08–5.371.74–10.88
Corners
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.9910.06safe2.86–7.282.99–6.995.85–14.28safer2.28–7.862.46–7.534.74–15.38
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.4355.36safe37.64–51.2348.58–62.15safer35.98–52.8946.90–63.82
Passes
21%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction378473851safe311–446407–540718–985safer293–464389–557682–1021
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction62.9570.76safe58.92–66.9866.43–75.08safer57.63–68.2765.12–76.39
Fouls
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1413.7326.87safe10.30–15.9810.78–16.6721.09–32.65safer9.55–16.7310.04–17.4219.58–34.16
Offsides
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.154.05safe0.74–3.061.06–3.241.80–6.30safer0.44–3.360.77–3.531.21–6.89
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.913.63safe0.67–2.770.78–3.041.45–5.81safer0.41–3.040.49–3.330.89–6.37
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.402.636.02safe1.96–4.831.07–4.183.03–9.02safer1.57–5.220.65–4.612.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.63 | 2.70 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 29% 25% 46% |
| Shots on target | 3.70 1.83–5.56 1.34–6.05 | 5.41 3.67–7.15 3.20–7.62 | 9.10 5.50–12.71 4.54–13.67 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.20 8.28–16.13 7.19–17.22 | 15.13 11.56–18.69 10.60–19.65 | 27.33 19.84–34.82 17.79–36.87 | 26% 68% |
| Shots in box | 7.83 4.88–10.77 4.05–11.60 | 10.07 7.39–12.75 6.65–13.49 | 17.90 12.27–23.52 10.71–25.09 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.09 1.20–4.97 0.66–5.51 | 3.23 1.57–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 6.31 2.78–9.85 1.74–10.88 | 40% 16% 44% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.28 2.28–7.86 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.46–7.53 | 10.06 5.85–14.28 4.74–15.38 | 45% 43% |
| Possession % | 44.43 37.64–51.23 35.98–52.89 | 55.36 48.58–62.15 46.90–63.82 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 378 311–446 293–464 | 473 407–540 389–557 | 851 718–985 682–1021 | 21% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.95 58.92–66.98 57.63–68.27 | 70.76 66.43–75.08 65.12–76.39 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 13.14 10.30–15.98 9.55–16.73 | 13.73 10.78–16.67 10.04–17.42 | 26.87 21.09–32.65 19.58–34.16 | 42% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 2.15 1.06–3.24 0.77–3.53 | 4.05 1.80–6.30 1.21–6.89 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.89–6.37 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 2.63 1.07–4.18 0.65–4.61 | 6.02 3.03–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.