Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.543.16safe0.65–2.590.68–2.391.33–4.98safer0.40–2.840.45–2.620.85–5.46
Shots on target
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.994.989.98safe3.13–6.863.24–6.726.37–13.58safer2.64–7.352.77–7.195.42–14.54
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4113.0527.46safe10.48–18.339.49–16.6119.97–34.95safer9.39–19.438.53–17.5717.92–37.00
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction9.699.0218.71safe6.75–12.636.34–11.7013.09–24.33safer5.92–13.465.60–12.4411.52–25.90
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.283.517.79safe2.40–6.161.86–5.174.26–11.33safer1.85–6.701.37–5.663.22–12.36
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.644.7310.37safe3.43–7.862.73–6.736.16–14.59safer2.85–8.432.20–7.265.05–15.69
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.7450.22safe43.95–57.5343.44–57.01safer42.28–59.2041.77–58.68
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction462459921safe395–529393–526788–1055safer376–547375–543752–1091
Pass accuracy %
27%
68%
homeawayprediction69.0573.19safe65.02–73.0868.86–77.51safer63.72–74.3767.56–78.82
Fouls
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1914.2925.48safe8.35–14.0211.34–17.2319.69–31.26safer7.59–14.7810.60–17.9818.19–32.76
Offsides
34%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.983.71safe0.57–2.890.89–3.071.46–5.96safer0.27–3.190.60–3.360.87–6.55
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.103.68safe0.53–2.630.97–3.231.50–5.86safer0.27–2.900.68–3.520.95–6.42
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.183.246.41safe1.74–4.611.68–4.793.42–9.40safer1.35–5.001.25–5.222.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.54 0.68–2.39 0.45–2.62 | 3.16 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.99 3.13–6.86 2.64–7.35 | 4.98 3.24–6.72 2.77–7.19 | 9.98 6.37–13.58 5.42–14.54 | 44% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.41 10.48–18.33 9.39–19.43 | 13.05 9.49–16.61 8.53–17.57 | 27.46 19.97–34.95 17.92–37.00 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 9.69 6.75–12.63 5.92–13.46 | 9.02 6.34–11.70 5.60–12.44 | 18.71 13.09–24.33 11.52–25.90 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.40–6.16 1.85–6.70 | 3.51 1.86–5.17 1.37–5.66 | 7.79 4.26–11.33 3.22–12.36 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.43–7.86 2.85–8.43 | 4.73 2.73–6.73 2.20–7.26 | 10.37 6.16–14.59 5.05–15.69 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 50.74 43.95–57.53 42.28–59.20 | 50.22 43.44–57.01 41.77–58.68 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 462 395–529 376–547 | 459 393–526 375–543 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.05 65.02–73.08 63.72–74.37 | 73.19 68.86–77.51 67.56–78.82 | — | 27% 68% |
| Fouls | 11.19 8.35–14.02 7.59–14.78 | 14.29 11.34–17.23 10.60–17.98 | 25.48 19.69–31.26 18.19–32.76 | 24% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.98 0.89–3.07 0.60–3.36 | 3.71 1.46–5.96 0.87–6.55 | 34% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.74–4.61 1.35–5.00 | 3.24 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.22 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.61–10.22 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.