Ligue 1·Regular Season - 31·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.442.74safe0.33–2.270.59–2.300.92–4.57safer0.08–2.520.36–2.530.44–5.05
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.558.88safe2.46–6.192.81–6.295.27–12.48safer1.97–6.682.34–6.764.32–13.44
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8414.1727.01safe8.91–16.7610.61–17.7319.52–34.49safer7.82–17.859.65–18.6917.47–36.54
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.149.3017.44safe5.20–11.086.62–11.9811.81–23.06safer4.37–11.915.88–12.7210.25–24.63
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.564.067.62safe1.68–5.442.41–5.724.09–11.16safer1.13–5.981.92–6.213.05–12.19
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.654.969.61safe2.43–6.862.96–6.965.40–13.82safer1.86–7.432.43–7.504.29–14.93
Possession %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction46.6054.29safe39.81–53.3947.50–61.07safer38.14–55.0645.83–62.75
Passes
31%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction453511964safe386–520444–577830–1097safer368–538427–595794–1133
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction68.8076.99safe64.77–72.8372.67–81.32safer63.48–74.1271.36–82.63
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8613.5824.44safe8.03–13.7010.63–16.5218.66–30.22safer7.27–14.469.88–17.2717.15–31.73
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.563.32safe0.60–2.920.47–2.651.07–5.58safer0.30–3.230.18–2.940.48–6.17
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.953.50safe0.50–2.600.82–3.081.32–5.68safer0.24–2.870.53–3.370.77–6.24
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
46%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.152.906.05safe1.72–4.591.34–4.453.06–9.04safer1.33–4.980.92–4.882.25–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.44 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 2.74 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 34% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.46–6.19 1.97–6.68 | 4.55 2.81–6.29 2.34–6.76 | 8.88 5.27–12.48 4.32–13.44 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 12.84 8.91–16.76 7.82–17.85 | 14.17 10.61–17.73 9.65–18.69 | 27.01 19.52–34.49 17.47–36.54 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 8.14 5.20–11.08 4.37–11.91 | 9.30 6.62–11.98 5.88–12.72 | 17.44 11.81–23.06 10.25–24.63 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.68–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 4.06 2.41–5.72 1.92–6.21 | 7.62 4.09–11.16 3.05–12.19 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 4.65 2.43–6.86 1.86–7.43 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.43–7.50 | 9.61 5.40–13.82 4.29–14.93 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 46.60 39.81–53.39 38.14–55.06 | 54.29 47.50–61.07 45.83–62.75 | — | 30% 65% |
| Passes | 453 386–520 368–538 | 511 444–577 427–595 | 964 830–1097 794–1133 | 31% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.80 64.77–72.83 63.48–74.12 | 76.99 72.67–81.32 71.36–82.63 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 10.86 8.03–13.70 7.27–14.46 | 13.58 10.63–16.52 9.88–17.27 | 24.44 18.66–30.22 17.15–31.73 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.23 | 1.56 0.47–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.32 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 2.90 1.34–4.45 0.92–4.88 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.25–9.85 | 46% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.