Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.652.80safe0.18–2.120.80–2.510.98–4.62safer0.00–2.370.57–2.730.50–5.10
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.244.758.99safe2.38–6.103.01–6.505.39–12.60safer1.89–6.592.55–6.964.43–13.56
Total shots
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8814.0927.96safe9.95–17.8010.52–17.6520.48–35.45safer8.86–18.899.56–18.6118.43–37.50
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.999.3018.28safe6.04–11.936.62–11.9812.66–23.91safer5.22–12.765.88–12.7211.09–25.47
Blocked shots
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.514.337.83safe1.62–5.392.67–5.984.30–11.37safer1.08–5.932.18–6.473.26–12.40
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.954.929.87safe2.73–7.162.92–6.925.66–14.08safer2.16–7.732.39–7.454.55–15.19
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction46.2854.37safe39.49–53.0747.58–61.15safer37.82–54.7445.91–62.82
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4935171010safe426–560451–584877–1144safer408–578433–601841–1180
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction70.8278.15safe66.79–74.8573.83–82.48safer65.49–76.1472.52–83.79
Fouls
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.519.7520.26safe7.68–13.356.81–12.7014.48–26.05safer6.92–14.116.06–13.4412.98–27.55
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.373.23safe0.70–3.020.27–2.460.97–5.48safer0.40–3.320.00–2.750.39–6.07
Yellow cards
42%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.493.18safe0.64–2.740.36–2.621.00–5.36safer0.37–3.000.07–2.910.45–5.92
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.080.20safe0.00–0.280.00–0.270.00–0.55safer0.00–0.430.00–0.400.00–0.83
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.312.986.29safe1.88–4.751.42–4.533.30–9.28safer1.49–5.141.00–4.962.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.65 0.80–2.51 0.57–2.73 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 27% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.24 2.38–6.10 1.89–6.59 | 4.75 3.01–6.50 2.55–6.96 | 8.99 5.39–12.60 4.43–13.56 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.88 9.95–17.80 8.86–18.89 | 14.09 10.52–17.65 9.56–18.61 | 27.96 20.48–35.45 18.43–37.50 | 45% 48% |
| Shots in box | 8.99 6.04–11.93 5.22–12.76 | 9.30 6.62–11.98 5.88–12.72 | 18.28 12.66–23.91 11.09–25.47 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.62–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 4.33 2.67–5.98 2.18–6.47 | 7.83 4.30–11.37 3.26–12.40 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.95 2.73–7.16 2.16–7.73 | 4.92 2.92–6.92 2.39–7.45 | 9.87 5.66–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 46.28 39.49–53.07 37.82–54.74 | 54.37 47.58–61.15 45.91–62.82 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 493 426–560 408–578 | 517 451–584 433–601 | 1010 877–1144 841–1180 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.82 66.79–74.85 65.49–76.14 | 78.15 73.83–82.48 72.52–83.79 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 10.51 7.68–13.35 6.92–14.11 | 9.75 6.81–12.70 6.06–13.44 | 20.26 14.48–26.05 12.98–27.55 | 52% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.37 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.23 0.97–5.48 0.39–6.07 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 1.49 0.36–2.62 0.07–2.91 | 3.18 1.00–5.36 0.45–5.92 | 42% 23% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.31 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 2.98 1.42–4.53 1.00–4.96 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.