Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.312.74safe0.47–2.400.45–2.160.92–4.56safer0.22–2.660.22–2.390.44–5.04
Shots on target
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.094.489.57safe3.23–6.952.74–6.225.96–13.17safer2.74–7.442.27–6.695.01–14.13
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1611.5526.71safe11.24–19.097.99–15.1119.22–34.20safer10.15–20.187.03–16.0717.17–36.25
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.538.0217.55safe6.59–12.475.34–10.7011.93–23.17safer5.76–13.304.60–11.4410.36–24.74
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.976.65safe1.79–5.551.32–4.633.11–10.18safer1.25–6.100.83–5.122.08–11.22
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.484.099.57safe3.27–7.692.09–6.095.36–13.79safer2.69–8.271.56–6.634.25–14.89
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.7648.26safe44.97–58.5541.47–55.04safer43.30–60.2239.80–56.71
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5314881018safe464–598421–554885–1152safer445–616404–572849–1188
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction72.1574.44safe68.12–76.1870.12–78.76safer66.83–77.4768.81–80.07
Fouls
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3810.1523.53safe10.54–16.227.21–13.1017.75–29.31safer9.78–16.976.46–13.8516.24–30.82
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.483.37safe0.72–3.040.39–2.581.11–5.62safer0.42–3.340.10–2.870.53–6.21
Yellow cards
41%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.663.42safe0.71–2.810.53–2.791.24–5.60safer0.44–3.070.24–3.080.68–6.16
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.466.38safe1.49–4.361.90–5.023.39–9.37safer1.10–4.751.48–5.442.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.40 0.22–2.66 | 1.31 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.09 3.23–6.95 2.74–7.44 | 4.48 2.74–6.22 2.27–6.69 | 9.57 5.96–13.17 5.01–14.13 | 51% 36% |
| Total shots | 15.16 11.24–19.09 10.15–20.18 | 11.55 7.99–15.11 7.03–16.07 | 26.71 19.22–34.20 17.17–36.25 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.53 6.59–12.47 5.76–13.30 | 8.02 5.34–10.70 4.60–11.44 | 17.55 11.93–23.17 10.36–24.74 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.25–6.10 | 2.97 1.32–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 6.65 3.11–10.18 2.08–11.22 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.27–7.69 2.69–8.27 | 4.09 2.09–6.09 1.56–6.63 | 9.57 5.36–13.79 4.25–14.89 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 51.76 44.97–58.55 43.30–60.22 | 48.26 41.47–55.04 39.80–56.71 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 531 464–598 445–616 | 488 421–554 404–572 | 1018 885–1152 849–1188 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.15 68.12–76.18 66.83–77.47 | 74.44 70.12–78.76 68.81–80.07 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 13.38 10.54–16.22 9.78–16.97 | 10.15 7.21–13.10 6.46–13.85 | 23.53 17.75–29.31 16.24–30.82 | 71% 22% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.87 | 3.37 1.11–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.07 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.68–6.16 | 41% 23% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 3.46 1.90–5.02 1.48–5.44 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.58–10.19 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+