Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.143.13safe1.02–2.960.28–1.991.31–4.95safer0.77–3.210.05–2.220.83–5.43
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.9410.16safe4.35–8.082.20–5.686.55–13.76safer3.87–8.571.73–6.155.60–14.72
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction18.0710.9529.02safe14.14–21.997.39–14.5121.53–36.50safer13.05–23.086.43–15.4719.48–38.55
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction12.097.3919.48safe9.14–15.034.71–10.0713.85–25.10safer8.31–15.863.97–10.8112.29–26.67
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.303.038.33safe3.42–7.191.37–4.684.80–11.87safer2.88–7.730.88–5.173.76–12.90
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.504.0210.52safe4.29–8.712.02–6.026.31–14.74safer3.71–9.291.49–6.555.20–15.84
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction60.3440.69safe53.55–67.1333.90–47.47safer51.88–68.8032.23–49.14
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction527352878safe459–594285–418745–1012safer441–612268–436709–1048
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction73.3667.00safe69.33–77.3962.68–71.33safer68.04–78.6861.37–72.63
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1513.7525.90safe9.32–14.9910.80–16.6920.12–31.68safer8.56–15.7510.05–17.4418.61–33.19
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.523.52safe0.84–3.160.43–2.611.27–5.77safer0.54–3.460.14–2.900.68–6.36
Yellow cards
21%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.313.64safe0.28–2.381.19–3.441.47–5.82safer0.01–2.640.89–3.730.91–6.38
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
21%
13%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.514.096.59safe1.07–3.942.53–5.643.60–9.58safer0.68–4.332.11–6.072.79–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.99 1.02–2.96 0.77–3.21 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 3.13 1.31–4.95 0.83–5.43 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.22 4.35–8.08 3.87–8.57 | 3.94 2.20–5.68 1.73–6.15 | 10.16 6.55–13.76 5.60–14.72 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 18.07 14.14–21.99 13.05–23.08 | 10.95 7.39–14.51 6.43–15.47 | 29.02 21.53–36.50 19.48–38.55 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 12.09 9.14–15.03 8.31–15.86 | 7.39 4.71–10.07 3.97–10.81 | 19.48 13.85–25.10 12.29–26.67 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 5.30 3.42–7.19 2.88–7.73 | 3.03 1.37–4.68 0.88–5.17 | 8.33 4.80–11.87 3.76–12.90 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.50 4.29–8.71 3.71–9.29 | 4.02 2.02–6.02 1.49–6.55 | 10.52 6.31–14.74 5.20–15.84 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 60.34 53.55–67.13 51.88–68.80 | 40.69 33.90–47.47 32.23–49.14 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 527 459–594 441–612 | 352 285–418 268–436 | 878 745–1012 709–1048 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.36 69.33–77.39 68.04–78.68 | 67.00 62.68–71.33 61.37–72.63 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 12.15 9.32–14.99 8.56–15.75 | 13.75 10.80–16.69 10.05–17.44 | 25.90 20.12–31.68 18.61–33.19 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.52 1.27–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.01–2.64 | 2.31 1.19–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 3.64 1.47–5.82 0.91–6.38 | 21% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 4.09 2.53–5.64 2.11–6.07 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.79–10.40 | 21% 13% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.