Ligue 1·Regular Season - 32·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.212.82safe0.64–2.580.35–2.061.00–4.64safer0.39–2.830.13–2.290.52–5.12
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.163.768.91safe3.30–7.022.01–5.505.31–12.52safer2.81–7.511.55–5.964.35–13.47
Total shots
75%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7811.8127.60safe11.86–19.718.25–15.3820.11–35.08safer10.77–20.807.29–16.3418.06–37.14
Shots in box
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction10.027.9317.95safe7.08–12.965.25–10.6112.32–23.57safer6.25–13.794.51–11.3510.76–25.14
Blocked shots
52%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.347.31safe2.09–5.861.69–4.993.78–10.85safer1.55–6.401.20–5.492.74–11.89
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.544.5410.08safe3.33–7.762.54–6.545.87–14.30safer2.75–8.332.01–7.074.76–15.40
Possession %
55%
41%
homeawayprediction51.1848.25safe44.39–57.9741.46–55.03safer42.72–59.6439.79–56.70
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction445406850safe377–512339–472717–984safer359–530322–490681–1020
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction68.2770.16safe64.25–72.3065.83–74.48safer62.95–73.6064.52–75.79
Fouls
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5713.5027.07safe10.73–16.4010.56–16.4421.28–32.85safer9.97–17.169.81–17.1919.78–34.35
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.793.90safe0.95–3.280.70–2.881.65–6.16safer0.65–3.580.41–3.171.06–6.75
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.913.50safe0.53–2.630.79–3.041.32–5.68safer0.27–2.900.49–3.330.76–6.23
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.415.99safe1.15–4.021.85–4.963.00–8.98safer0.76–4.411.43–5.392.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.13–2.29 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 47% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.16 3.30–7.02 2.81–7.51 | 3.76 2.01–5.50 1.55–5.96 | 8.91 5.31–12.52 4.35–13.47 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.78 11.86–19.71 10.77–20.80 | 11.81 8.25–15.38 7.29–16.34 | 27.60 20.11–35.08 18.06–37.14 | 75% 20% |
| Shots in box | 10.02 7.08–12.96 6.25–13.79 | 7.93 5.25–10.61 4.51–11.35 | 17.95 12.32–23.57 10.76–25.14 | 65% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 3.34 1.69–4.99 1.20–5.49 | 7.31 3.78–10.85 2.74–11.89 | 52% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.54 3.33–7.76 2.75–8.33 | 4.54 2.54–6.54 2.01–7.07 | 10.08 5.87–14.30 4.76–15.40 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 51.18 44.39–57.97 42.72–59.64 | 48.25 41.46–55.03 39.79–56.70 | — | 55% 41% |
| Passes | 445 377–512 359–530 | 406 339–472 322–490 | 850 717–984 681–1020 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.27 64.25–72.30 62.95–73.60 | 70.16 65.83–74.48 64.52–75.79 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 13.57 10.73–16.40 9.97–17.16 | 13.50 10.56–16.44 9.81–17.19 | 27.07 21.28–32.85 19.78–34.35 | 47% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.95–3.28 0.65–3.58 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.90 1.65–6.16 1.06–6.75 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 1.91 0.79–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.76–6.23 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 3.41 1.85–4.96 1.43–5.39 | 5.99 3.00–8.98 2.19–9.80 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.