Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.103.18safe1.11–3.040.25–1.951.35–5.00safer0.86–3.300.02–2.180.87–5.48
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.194.1010.29safe4.33–8.062.36–5.846.69–13.90safer3.84–8.551.89–6.315.73–14.85
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4111.3528.75safe13.48–21.337.79–14.9121.27–36.24safer12.39–22.426.83–15.8719.22–38.29
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.697.5419.23safe8.75–14.634.85–10.2213.60–24.85safer7.92–15.464.12–10.9512.04–26.42
Blocked shots
56%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.573.618.18safe2.69–6.451.96–5.264.64–11.72safer2.14–6.991.47–5.763.61–12.75
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.814.3510.17safe3.60–8.032.35–6.355.95–14.38safer3.03–8.601.82–6.884.85–15.49
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.7644.42safe49.97–63.5537.64–51.21safer48.30–65.2235.96–52.88
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction559421980safe491–626355–487846–1113safer473–644337–505810–1149
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction72.7072.71safe68.67–76.7368.39–77.04safer67.38–78.0267.08–78.34
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3312.5723.90safe8.50–14.179.63–15.5218.12–29.69safer7.74–14.938.88–16.2616.62–31.19
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.693.73safe0.89–3.210.59–2.781.48–5.99safer0.58–3.510.31–3.070.89–6.58
Yellow cards
27%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.033.46safe0.39–2.490.90–3.151.29–5.64safer0.12–2.750.61–3.450.73–6.20
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
22%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.554.046.58safe1.11–3.982.48–5.593.59–9.58safer0.72–4.372.06–6.022.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.08 1.11–3.04 0.86–3.30 | 1.10 0.25–1.95 0.02–2.18 | 3.18 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.19 4.33–8.06 3.84–8.55 | 4.10 2.36–5.84 1.89–6.31 | 10.29 6.69–13.90 5.73–14.85 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 17.41 13.48–21.33 12.39–22.42 | 11.35 7.79–14.91 6.83–15.87 | 28.75 21.27–36.24 19.22–38.29 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 11.69 8.75–14.63 7.92–15.46 | 7.54 4.85–10.22 4.12–10.95 | 19.23 13.60–24.85 12.04–26.42 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.45 2.14–6.99 | 3.61 1.96–5.26 1.47–5.76 | 8.18 4.64–11.72 3.61–12.75 | 56% 13% 30% |
| Corners | 5.81 3.60–8.03 3.03–8.60 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.82–6.88 | 10.17 5.95–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 56.76 49.97–63.55 48.30–65.22 | 44.42 37.64–51.21 35.96–52.88 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 559 491–626 473–644 | 421 355–487 337–505 | 980 846–1113 810–1149 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.70 68.67–76.73 67.38–78.02 | 72.71 68.39–77.04 67.08–78.34 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 11.33 8.50–14.17 7.74–14.93 | 12.57 9.63–15.52 8.88–16.26 | 23.90 18.12–29.69 16.62–31.19 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.58–3.51 | 1.69 0.59–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.73 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.12–2.75 | 2.03 0.90–3.15 0.61–3.45 | 3.46 1.29–5.64 0.73–6.20 | 27% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.11–3.98 0.72–4.37 | 4.04 2.48–5.59 2.06–6.02 | 6.58 3.59–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 22% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.