Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.410.953.36safe1.44–3.380.10–1.811.54–5.18safer1.19–3.630.00–2.031.06–5.66
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.473.289.75safe4.61–8.331.54–5.036.15–13.36safer4.12–8.821.08–5.495.19–14.31
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.009.0726.06safe13.07–20.925.50–12.6318.58–33.55safer11.98–22.014.54–13.5916.53–35.60
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.235.3917.62safe9.28–15.172.71–8.0712.00–23.24safer8.45–16.001.97–8.8110.43–24.81
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.622.226.85safe2.74–6.510.57–3.883.31–10.38safer2.20–7.050.08–4.372.28–11.42
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.133.4310.55safe4.91–9.341.43–5.436.34–14.77safer4.34–9.910.90–5.965.23–15.87
Possession %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction57.3343.14safe50.54–64.1236.35–49.92safer48.87–65.7934.68–51.59
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction541415957safe474–609349–482823–1091safer456–627331–499788–1126
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction76.5972.51safe72.56–80.6268.18–76.83safer71.27–81.9166.88–78.14
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8112.8722.68safe6.97–12.659.93–15.8216.90–28.46safer6.22–13.409.18–16.5715.40–29.97
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.633.73safe0.94–3.260.53–2.721.48–5.98safer0.64–3.560.25–3.010.89–6.57
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.033.44safe0.37–2.470.90–3.161.27–5.62safer0.10–2.730.61–3.450.71–6.18
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.334.076.40safe0.89–3.772.51–5.623.41–9.39safer0.51–4.152.09–6.052.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.41 1.44–3.38 1.19–3.63 | 0.95 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.03 | 3.36 1.54–5.18 1.06–5.66 | 70% 17% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.47 4.61–8.33 4.12–8.82 | 3.28 1.54–5.03 1.08–5.49 | 9.75 6.15–13.36 5.19–14.31 | 81% |
| Total shots | 17.00 13.07–20.92 11.98–22.01 | 9.07 5.50–12.63 4.54–13.59 | 26.06 18.58–33.55 16.53–35.60 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.23 9.28–15.17 8.45–16.00 | 5.39 2.71–8.07 1.97–8.81 | 17.62 12.00–23.24 10.43–24.81 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.62 2.74–6.51 2.20–7.05 | 2.22 0.57–3.88 0.08–4.37 | 6.85 3.31–10.38 2.28–11.42 | 77% |
| Corners | 7.13 4.91–9.34 4.34–9.91 | 3.43 1.43–5.43 0.90–5.96 | 10.55 6.34–14.77 5.23–15.87 | 84% |
| Possession % | 57.33 50.54–64.12 48.87–65.79 | 43.14 36.35–49.92 34.68–51.59 | — | 78% 18% |
| Passes | 541 474–609 456–627 | 415 349–482 331–499 | 957 823–1091 788–1126 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.59 72.56–80.62 71.27–81.91 | 72.51 68.18–76.83 66.88–78.14 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 9.81 6.97–12.65 6.22–13.40 | 12.87 9.93–15.82 9.18–16.57 | 22.68 16.90–28.46 15.40–29.97 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.63 0.53–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 3.73 1.48–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.44 1.27–5.62 0.71–6.18 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.89–3.77 0.51–4.15 | 4.07 2.51–5.62 2.09–6.05 | 6.40 3.41–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 18% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.