Ligue 1·Regular Season - 32·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.270.754.02safe2.30–4.230.00–1.612.20–5.84safer2.05–4.490.00–1.841.72–6.32
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.162.8110.97safe6.30–10.021.06–4.557.36–14.57safer5.81–10.510.60–5.016.40–15.53
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.357.6227.97safe16.43–24.284.06–11.1920.49–35.46safer15.33–25.373.10–12.1518.44–37.51
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.805.0918.89safe10.85–16.742.41–7.7713.26–24.51safer10.02–17.571.67–8.5111.70–26.08
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.522.007.51safe3.63–7.400.34–3.653.98–11.05safer3.09–7.940.00–4.142.94–12.08
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.742.4910.24safe5.53–9.950.49–4.496.02–14.45safer4.95–10.530.00–5.034.92–15.56
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.5132.09safe60.72–74.3025.31–38.88safer59.05–75.9723.64–40.55
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7563941150safe689–823327–4601016–1283safer670–841310–478980–1319
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction85.5973.00safe81.56–89.6168.68–77.33safer80.26–90.9167.37–78.64
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.879.8717.74safe5.03–10.716.93–12.8111.96–23.52safer4.28–11.466.18–13.5610.45–25.03
Offsides
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.384.16safe0.62–2.941.28–3.471.90–6.41safer0.32–3.241.00–3.761.31–7.00
Yellow cards
24%
28%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction0.881.362.24safe0.00–1.930.23–2.490.06–4.42safer0.00–2.200.00–2.780.00–4.98
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
84%
homeawaytotalprediction1.985.127.10safe0.55–3.423.56–6.684.11–10.10safer0.16–3.813.14–7.103.30–10.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.27 2.30–4.23 2.05–4.49 | 0.75 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 4.02 2.20–5.84 1.72–6.32 | 85% |
| Shots on target | 8.16 6.30–10.02 5.81–10.51 | 2.81 1.06–4.55 0.60–5.01 | 10.97 7.36–14.57 6.40–15.53 | 93% |
| Total shots | 20.35 16.43–24.28 15.33–25.37 | 7.62 4.06–11.19 3.10–12.15 | 27.97 20.49–35.46 18.44–37.51 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.80 10.85–16.74 10.02–17.57 | 5.09 2.41–7.77 1.67–8.51 | 18.89 13.26–24.51 11.70–26.08 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.52 3.63–7.40 3.09–7.94 | 2.00 0.34–3.65 0.00–4.14 | 7.51 3.98–11.05 2.94–12.08 | 87% |
| Corners | 7.74 5.53–9.95 4.95–10.53 | 2.49 0.49–4.49 0.00–5.03 | 10.24 6.02–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 94% |
| Possession % | 67.51 60.72–74.30 59.05–75.97 | 32.09 25.31–38.88 23.64–40.55 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 756 689–823 670–841 | 394 327–460 310–478 | 1150 1016–1283 980–1319 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.59 81.56–89.61 80.26–90.91 | 73.00 68.68–77.33 67.37–78.64 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 7.87 5.03–10.71 4.28–11.46 | 9.87 6.93–12.81 6.18–13.56 | 17.74 11.96–23.52 10.45–25.03 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 2.38 1.28–3.47 1.00–3.76 | 4.16 1.90–6.41 1.31–7.00 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 0.88 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.20 | 1.36 0.23–2.49 0.00–2.78 | 2.24 0.06–4.42 0.00–4.98 | 24% 28% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.98 0.55–3.42 0.16–3.81 | 5.12 3.56–6.68 3.14–7.10 | 7.10 4.11–10.10 3.30–10.91 | 84% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.