Ligue 1·Regular Season - 32·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.193.04safe0.89–2.820.33–2.041.22–4.86safer0.64–3.070.10–2.270.74–5.34
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.524.119.64safe3.66–7.392.37–5.856.03–13.24safer3.17–7.881.90–6.325.08–14.20
Total shots
82%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5911.3027.90safe12.67–20.527.74–14.8720.41–35.38safer11.57–21.616.78–15.8318.36–37.43
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.547.7718.31safe7.60–13.495.09–10.4512.69–23.94safer6.77–14.324.35–11.1911.12–25.50
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.692.916.60safe1.80–5.571.26–4.563.06–10.13safer1.26–6.110.77–5.062.03–11.17
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.884.9310.81safe3.67–8.092.93–6.936.60–15.03safer3.09–8.672.40–7.475.49–16.13
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.1537.30safe56.36–69.9430.52–44.09safer54.69–71.6128.84–45.76
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction581338919safe514–648271–404785–1053safer496–666254–422749–1088
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction74.6867.37safe70.65–78.7163.05–71.69safer69.36–80.0061.74–73.00
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2312.5324.76safe9.39–15.079.59–15.4818.98–30.54safer8.64–15.828.84–16.2217.47–32.05
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.773.50safe0.56–2.880.68–2.871.24–5.75safer0.26–3.190.39–3.150.65–6.34
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.983.62safe0.59–2.690.85–3.111.44–5.79safer0.32–2.950.56–3.400.88–6.35
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.666.49safe1.39–4.262.11–5.223.50–9.48safer1.00–4.651.68–5.642.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 0.89–2.82 0.64–3.07 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.52 3.66–7.39 3.17–7.88 | 4.11 2.37–5.85 1.90–6.32 | 9.64 6.03–13.24 5.08–14.20 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 16.59 12.67–20.52 11.57–21.61 | 11.30 7.74–14.87 6.78–15.83 | 27.90 20.41–35.38 18.36–37.43 | 82% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.54 7.60–13.49 6.77–14.32 | 7.77 5.09–10.45 4.35–11.19 | 18.31 12.69–23.94 11.12–25.50 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.80–5.57 1.26–6.11 | 2.91 1.26–4.56 0.77–5.06 | 6.60 3.06–10.13 2.03–11.17 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.88 3.67–8.09 3.09–8.67 | 4.93 2.93–6.93 2.40–7.47 | 10.81 6.60–15.03 5.49–16.13 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 63.15 56.36–69.94 54.69–71.61 | 37.30 30.52–44.09 28.84–45.76 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 581 514–648 496–666 | 338 271–404 254–422 | 919 785–1053 749–1088 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.68 70.65–78.71 69.36–80.00 | 67.37 63.05–71.69 61.74–73.00 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 12.23 9.39–15.07 8.64–15.82 | 12.53 9.59–15.48 8.84–16.22 | 24.76 18.98–30.54 17.47–32.05 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.19 | 1.77 0.68–2.87 0.39–3.15 | 3.50 1.24–5.75 0.65–6.34 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.62 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.66 2.11–5.22 1.68–5.64 | 6.49 3.50–9.48 2.68–10.29 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+