Ligue 1·Regular Season - 33·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.653.17safe0.56–2.490.79–2.501.35–5.00safer0.31–2.750.57–2.730.87–5.48
Shots on target
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.984.899.87safe3.12–6.843.15–6.636.26–13.47safer2.63–7.332.68–7.105.31–14.43
Total shots
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4714.2127.68safe9.55–17.4010.65–17.7720.19–35.17safer8.46–18.499.69–18.7318.14–37.22
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.169.6418.81safe6.22–12.116.96–12.3213.18–24.43safer5.39–12.946.22–13.0611.62–26.00
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.473.727.19safe1.59–5.352.07–5.373.65–10.72safer1.04–5.891.57–5.862.62–11.76
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.765.179.93safe2.55–6.973.17–7.175.71–14.14safer1.97–7.552.64–7.704.61–15.25
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.9251.72safe42.13–55.7144.94–58.51safer40.46–57.3843.27–60.18
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction476482958safe409–543416–549825–1092safer391–561398–566789–1128
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction70.7675.60safe66.74–74.7971.28–79.93safer65.44–76.0969.97–81.24
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9711.1624.13safe10.14–15.818.21–14.1018.35–29.91safer9.38–16.577.46–14.8516.84–31.42
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.823.69safe0.72–3.040.72–2.911.44–5.95safer0.42–3.340.44–3.200.85–6.54
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.863.63safe0.72–2.820.73–2.991.46–5.81safer0.46–3.090.44–3.280.90–6.37
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.303.166.46safe1.87–4.741.60–4.723.47–9.45safer1.48–5.121.18–5.142.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.49 0.31–2.75 | 1.65 0.79–2.50 0.57–2.73 | 3.17 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.98 3.12–6.84 2.63–7.33 | 4.89 3.15–6.63 2.68–7.10 | 9.87 6.26–13.47 5.31–14.43 | 45% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.47 9.55–17.40 8.46–18.49 | 14.21 10.65–17.77 9.69–18.73 | 27.68 20.19–35.17 18.14–37.22 | 41% 52% |
| Shots in box | 9.16 6.22–12.11 5.39–12.94 | 9.64 6.96–12.32 6.22–13.06 | 18.81 13.18–24.43 11.62–26.00 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.35 1.04–5.89 | 3.72 2.07–5.37 1.57–5.86 | 7.19 3.65–10.72 2.62–11.76 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.76 2.55–6.97 1.97–7.55 | 5.17 3.17–7.17 2.64–7.70 | 9.93 5.71–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 48.92 42.13–55.71 40.46–57.38 | 51.72 44.94–58.51 43.27–60.18 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 476 409–543 391–561 | 482 416–549 398–566 | 958 825–1092 789–1128 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.76 66.74–74.79 65.44–76.09 | 75.60 71.28–79.93 69.97–81.24 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 12.97 10.14–15.81 9.38–16.57 | 11.16 8.21–14.10 7.46–14.85 | 24.13 18.35–29.91 16.84–31.42 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.82 0.72–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 3.69 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.46–3.09 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.63 1.46–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.87–4.74 1.48–5.12 | 3.16 1.60–4.72 1.18–5.14 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.66–10.27 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.