Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.713.15safe0.48–2.410.85–2.561.33–4.98safer0.23–2.660.62–2.790.85–5.45
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.955.1410.09safe3.09–6.813.39–6.886.48–13.69safer2.60–7.302.93–7.345.53–14.65
Total shots
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0214.9629.97safe11.09–18.9411.39–18.5222.48–37.46safer10.00–20.0310.43–19.4820.43–39.51
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2410.4219.66safe6.29–12.187.74–13.1114.04–25.28safer5.46–13.017.01–13.8412.47–26.85
Blocked shots
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.044.948.97safe2.15–5.923.28–6.595.44–12.51safer1.61–6.462.79–7.084.40–13.54
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.145.2210.37safe2.93–7.363.22–7.226.15–14.58safer2.36–7.932.69–7.755.04–15.69
Possession %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction47.6053.63safe40.81–54.3946.84–60.41safer39.14–56.0645.17–62.08
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction438474912safe371–505408–541778–1046safer353–523390–558743–1081
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction66.2675.05safe62.23–70.2970.72–79.37safer60.94–71.5869.41–80.68
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3111.9523.27safe8.48–14.159.01–14.9017.49–29.05safer7.72–14.918.26–15.6515.98–30.56
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.893.59safe0.54–2.860.80–2.981.34–5.85safer0.24–3.170.51–3.270.75–6.44
Yellow cards
45%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.713.73safe0.97–3.070.58–2.841.56–5.91safer0.71–3.340.29–3.131.00–6.47
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
45%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.603.407.00safe2.16–5.041.84–4.954.00–9.99safer1.78–5.421.41–5.383.19–10.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.48–2.41 0.23–2.66 | 1.71 0.85–2.56 0.62–2.79 | 3.15 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.45 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.81 2.60–7.30 | 5.14 3.39–6.88 2.93–7.34 | 10.09 6.48–13.69 5.53–14.65 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 15.02 11.09–18.94 10.00–20.03 | 14.96 11.39–18.52 10.43–19.48 | 29.97 22.48–37.46 20.43–39.51 | 47% 46% |
| Shots in box | 9.24 6.29–12.18 5.46–13.01 | 10.42 7.74–13.11 7.01–13.84 | 19.66 14.04–25.28 12.47–26.85 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.15–5.92 1.61–6.46 | 4.94 3.28–6.59 2.79–7.08 | 8.97 5.44–12.51 4.40–13.54 | 32% 55% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.93–7.36 2.36–7.93 | 5.22 3.22–7.22 2.69–7.75 | 10.37 6.15–14.58 5.04–15.69 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 47.60 40.81–54.39 39.14–56.06 | 53.63 46.84–60.41 45.17–62.08 | — | 34% 62% |
| Passes | 438 371–505 353–523 | 474 408–541 390–558 | 912 778–1046 743–1081 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.26 62.23–70.29 60.94–71.58 | 75.05 70.72–79.37 69.41–80.68 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.31 8.48–14.15 7.72–14.91 | 11.95 9.01–14.90 8.26–15.65 | 23.27 17.49–29.05 15.98–30.56 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.17 | 1.89 0.80–2.98 0.51–3.27 | 3.59 1.34–5.85 0.75–6.44 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.71–3.34 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.73 1.56–5.91 1.00–6.47 | 45% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.60 2.16–5.04 1.78–5.42 | 3.40 1.84–4.95 1.41–5.38 | 7.00 4.00–9.99 3.19–10.80 | 45% 15% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+