Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.773.03safe0.29–2.230.92–2.631.21–4.86safer0.04–2.480.69–2.850.73–5.33
Shots on target
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.505.089.57safe2.63–6.363.34–6.825.97–13.18safer2.14–6.852.87–7.295.01–14.13
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9213.1426.06safe8.99–16.849.58–16.7118.58–33.55safer7.90–17.938.62–17.6716.53–35.60
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction7.768.8616.62safe4.82–10.716.18–11.5411.00–22.24safer3.99–11.545.44–12.289.43–23.81
Blocked shots
37%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.253.576.82safe1.36–5.131.92–5.233.28–10.35safer0.82–5.671.43–5.722.25–11.39
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.955.0910.05safe2.74–7.173.09–7.095.83–14.26safer2.17–7.742.56–7.634.73–15.37
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction47.0152.21safe40.22–53.8045.42–58.99safer38.55–55.4743.75–60.66
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction5165261042safe449–583459–592908–1176safer431–601442–610873–1211
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction73.5678.12safe69.53–77.5973.79–82.44safer68.24–78.8872.48–83.75
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3510.3520.70safe7.51–13.197.41–13.3014.92–26.48safer6.76–13.946.66–14.0413.41–27.99
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.453.19safe0.58–2.900.36–2.540.94–5.44safer0.28–3.200.07–2.830.35–6.03
Yellow cards
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.542.99safe0.40–2.500.41–2.670.81–5.17safer0.13–2.760.12–2.960.25–5.72
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.076.27safe1.77–4.641.51–4.633.28–9.27safer1.38–5.031.09–5.052.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.77 0.92–2.63 0.69–2.85 | 3.03 1.21–4.86 0.73–5.33 | 27% 23% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.63–6.36 2.14–6.85 | 5.08 3.34–6.82 2.87–7.29 | 9.57 5.97–13.18 5.01–14.13 | 36% 51% |
| Total shots | 12.92 8.99–16.84 7.90–17.93 | 13.14 9.58–16.71 8.62–17.67 | 26.06 18.58–33.55 16.53–35.60 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 7.76 4.82–10.71 3.99–11.54 | 8.86 6.18–11.54 5.44–12.28 | 16.62 11.00–22.24 9.43–23.81 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 3.57 1.92–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 6.82 3.28–10.35 2.25–11.39 | 37% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.95 2.74–7.17 2.17–7.74 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.56–7.63 | 10.05 5.83–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 47.01 40.22–53.80 38.55–55.47 | 52.21 45.42–58.99 43.75–60.66 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 516 449–583 431–601 | 526 459–592 442–610 | 1042 908–1176 873–1211 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.56 69.53–77.59 68.24–78.88 | 78.12 73.79–82.44 72.48–83.75 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 10.35 7.51–13.19 6.76–13.94 | 10.35 7.41–13.30 6.66–14.04 | 20.70 14.92–26.48 13.41–27.99 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.19 0.94–5.44 0.35–6.03 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.13–2.76 | 1.54 0.41–2.67 0.12–2.96 | 2.99 0.81–5.17 0.25–5.72 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.20 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 3.07 1.51–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 6.27 3.28–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+