Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.222.93safe0.74–2.670.37–2.081.11–4.75safer0.49–2.930.14–2.310.63–5.23
Shots on target
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.824.4310.25safe3.96–7.692.68–6.176.65–13.86safer3.47–8.182.22–6.635.69–14.81
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7311.8428.57safe12.80–20.658.28–15.4021.08–36.05safer11.71–21.747.32–16.3619.03–38.10
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.867.6418.50safe7.92–13.804.96–10.3212.87–24.12safer7.09–14.634.22–11.0611.31–25.69
Blocked shots
52%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.143.477.61safe2.26–6.031.81–5.124.08–11.15safer1.72–6.571.32–5.613.04–12.18
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.114.379.47safe2.89–7.322.37–6.375.26–13.69safer2.32–7.891.83–6.904.15–14.80
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.5648.28safe45.77–59.3541.49–55.06safer44.10–61.0239.82–56.73
Passes
69%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5424811023safe475–609414–547889–1157safer457–627397–565854–1192
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction70.7576.01safe66.72–74.7871.69–80.33safer65.42–76.0770.38–81.64
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1910.5221.71safe8.36–14.037.57–13.4615.93–27.49safer7.60–14.796.82–14.2114.43–29.00
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.343.09safe0.59–2.910.25–2.440.84–5.34safer0.29–3.210.00–2.720.25–5.93
Yellow cards
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.633.23safe0.55–2.650.50–2.761.05–5.41safer0.28–2.920.21–3.050.49–5.96
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.686.70safe1.58–4.452.13–5.243.71–9.70safer1.19–4.841.70–5.672.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.67 0.49–2.93 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.82 3.96–7.69 3.47–8.18 | 4.43 2.68–6.17 2.22–6.63 | 10.25 6.65–13.86 5.69–14.81 | 61% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.73 12.80–20.65 11.71–21.74 | 11.84 8.28–15.40 7.32–16.36 | 28.57 21.08–36.05 19.03–38.10 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.86 7.92–13.80 7.09–14.63 | 7.64 4.96–10.32 4.22–11.06 | 18.50 12.87–24.12 11.31–25.69 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.26–6.03 1.72–6.57 | 3.47 1.81–5.12 1.32–5.61 | 7.61 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.18 | 52% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.11 2.89–7.32 2.32–7.89 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.83–6.90 | 9.47 5.26–13.69 4.15–14.80 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 52.56 45.77–59.35 44.10–61.02 | 48.28 41.49–55.06 39.82–56.73 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 542 475–609 457–627 | 481 414–547 397–565 | 1023 889–1157 854–1192 | 69% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.75 66.72–74.78 65.42–76.07 | 76.01 71.69–80.33 70.38–81.64 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 11.19 8.36–14.03 7.60–14.79 | 10.52 7.57–13.46 6.82–14.21 | 21.71 15.93–27.49 14.43–29.00 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.34 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.72 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.92 | 1.63 0.50–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.49–5.96 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.58–4.45 1.19–4.84 | 3.68 2.13–5.24 1.70–5.67 | 6.70 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 32% 15% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.