Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.413.06safe0.69–2.630.55–2.261.24–4.89safer0.44–2.880.32–2.490.76–5.36
Shots on target
46%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.704.479.17safe2.83–6.562.73–6.215.56–12.77safer2.34–7.052.26–6.684.61–13.73
Total shots
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0212.3326.35safe10.10–17.958.77–15.8918.86–33.84safer9.01–19.047.81–16.8516.81–35.89
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.887.5716.45safe5.94–11.824.89–10.2610.83–22.08safer5.11–12.654.16–10.999.26–23.64
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.316.98safe1.79–5.551.66–4.963.44–10.52safer1.25–6.101.16–5.452.41–11.55
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.584.7210.30safe3.37–7.802.72–6.726.09–14.51safer2.79–8.372.19–7.254.98–15.62
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.9244.44safe49.13–62.7137.66–51.23safer47.46–64.3835.99–52.90
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction522392914safe455–589325–458780–1047safer436–607308–476744–1083
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction70.2569.11safe66.22–74.2864.78–73.43safer64.93–75.5763.48–74.74
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7412.6524.39safe8.90–14.589.71–15.6018.61–30.17safer8.15–15.338.96–16.3417.10–31.68
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.753.53safe0.62–2.940.66–2.841.28–5.79safer0.32–3.250.37–3.130.69–6.38
Yellow cards
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.563.11safe0.50–2.600.43–2.690.94–5.29safer0.24–2.870.14–2.980.38–5.85
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
38%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.146.08safe1.50–4.371.59–4.703.09–9.07safer1.11–4.761.16–5.122.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 1.41 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 3.06 1.24–4.89 0.76–5.36 | 44% 24% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.70 2.83–6.56 2.34–7.05 | 4.47 2.73–6.21 2.26–6.68 | 9.17 5.56–12.77 4.61–13.73 | 46% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.02 10.10–17.95 9.01–19.04 | 12.33 8.77–15.89 7.81–16.85 | 26.35 18.86–33.84 16.81–35.89 | 59% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.88 5.94–11.82 5.11–12.65 | 7.57 4.89–10.26 4.16–10.99 | 16.45 10.83–22.08 9.26–23.64 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.25–6.10 | 3.31 1.66–4.96 1.16–5.45 | 6.98 3.44–10.52 2.41–11.55 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.58 3.37–7.80 2.79–8.37 | 4.72 2.72–6.72 2.19–7.25 | 10.30 6.09–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 55.92 49.13–62.71 47.46–64.38 | 44.44 37.66–51.23 35.99–52.90 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 522 455–589 436–607 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 914 780–1047 744–1083 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.25 66.22–74.28 64.93–75.57 | 69.11 64.78–73.43 63.48–74.74 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 11.74 8.90–14.58 8.15–15.33 | 12.65 9.71–15.60 8.96–16.34 | 24.39 18.61–30.17 17.10–31.68 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.25 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.53 1.28–5.79 0.69–6.38 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 3.11 0.94–5.29 0.38–5.85 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 3.14 1.59–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 6.08 3.09–9.07 2.28–9.89 | 38% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+