Ligue 1·Regular Season - 34·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.432.94safe0.55–2.480.57–2.281.12–4.77safer0.29–2.730.35–2.510.64–5.25
Shots on target
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.014.959.97safe3.15–6.883.21–6.706.36–13.57safer2.66–7.372.74–7.165.41–14.53
Total shots
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7113.4328.14safe10.79–18.649.87–16.9920.66–35.63safer9.69–19.738.91–17.9518.61–37.68
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.478.3717.85safe6.53–12.425.69–11.0512.23–23.47safer5.70–13.254.96–11.7910.66–25.04
Blocked shots
45%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.336.84safe1.62–5.391.68–4.993.30–10.37safer1.08–5.931.19–5.482.27–11.41
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.9010.12safe3.01–7.442.90–6.905.91–14.33safer2.44–8.012.36–7.434.80–15.44
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.3353.18safe39.54–53.1246.39–59.96safer37.87–54.7944.72–61.63
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction417471888safe350–484404–537754–1022safer332–503387–555718–1057
Pass accuracy %
22%
73%
homeawayprediction66.9972.34safe62.96–71.0268.02–76.67safer61.66–72.3166.71–77.97
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7412.2524.99safe9.90–15.579.30–15.1919.20–30.77safer9.14–16.338.56–15.9417.70–32.27
Offsides
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.994.01safe0.86–3.180.90–3.081.76–6.26safer0.56–3.480.61–3.371.17–6.85
Yellow cards
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.733.39safe0.61–2.710.60–2.861.21–5.57safer0.34–2.970.31–3.150.65–6.12
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.153.166.31safe1.71–4.591.61–4.723.32–9.30safer1.33–4.971.18–5.142.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.55–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 1.43 0.57–2.28 0.35–2.51 | 2.94 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 40% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 5.01 3.15–6.88 2.66–7.37 | 4.95 3.21–6.70 2.74–7.16 | 9.97 6.36–13.57 5.41–14.53 | 44% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.71 10.79–18.64 9.69–19.73 | 13.43 9.87–16.99 8.91–17.95 | 28.14 20.66–35.63 18.61–37.68 | 56% 37% |
| Shots in box | 9.47 6.53–12.42 5.70–13.25 | 8.37 5.69–11.05 4.96–11.79 | 17.85 12.23–23.47 10.66–25.04 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.62–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 3.33 1.68–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 6.84 3.30–10.37 2.27–11.41 | 45% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.01–7.44 2.44–8.01 | 4.90 2.90–6.90 2.36–7.43 | 10.12 5.91–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 46.33 39.54–53.12 37.87–54.79 | 53.18 46.39–59.96 44.72–61.63 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 417 350–484 332–503 | 471 404–537 387–555 | 888 754–1022 718–1057 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.99 62.96–71.02 61.66–72.31 | 72.34 68.02–76.67 66.71–77.97 | — | 22% 73% |
| Fouls | 12.74 9.90–15.57 9.14–16.33 | 12.25 9.30–15.19 8.56–15.94 | 24.99 19.20–30.77 17.70–32.27 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.99 0.90–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 4.01 1.76–6.26 1.17–6.85 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.65–6.12 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.71–4.59 1.33–4.97 | 3.16 1.61–4.72 1.18–5.14 | 6.31 3.32–9.30 2.51–10.12 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+