Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
20%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.073.21safe1.17–3.110.21–1.921.38–5.03safer0.92–3.360.00–2.150.90–5.51
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.043.819.84safe4.17–7.902.07–5.556.24–13.45safer3.68–8.391.60–6.025.28–14.40
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2710.8528.12safe13.35–21.207.29–14.4120.63–35.61safer12.26–22.296.33–15.3718.58–37.66
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.216.6417.85safe8.27–14.153.96–9.3212.23–23.47safer7.44–14.983.22–10.0610.66–25.04
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.452.917.36safe2.57–6.331.26–4.563.83–10.90safer2.03–6.880.77–5.062.79–11.93
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.839.75safe3.71–8.131.83–5.835.53–13.96safer3.13–8.711.29–6.364.43–15.07
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction56.2244.70safe49.43–63.0137.92–51.49safer47.76–64.6836.25–53.16
Passes
82%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5584461004safe491–625380–513870–1138safer473–643362–530835–1173
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction74.5973.27safe70.56–78.6268.94–77.59safer69.27–79.9167.63–78.90
Fouls
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5913.9523.53safe6.75–12.4211.00–16.8917.75–29.31safer5.99–13.1810.25–17.6416.25–30.82
Offsides
48%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.753.90safe0.99–3.310.65–2.841.64–6.15safer0.69–3.610.37–3.131.05–6.74
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.783.19safe0.37–2.470.65–2.911.02–5.37safer0.10–2.730.36–3.200.46–5.93
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
24%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.736.19safe1.02–3.902.17–5.283.19–9.18safer0.64–4.281.74–5.712.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.14 1.17–3.11 0.92–3.36 | 1.07 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 3.21 1.38–5.03 0.90–5.51 | 62% 20% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.04 4.17–7.90 3.68–8.39 | 3.81 2.07–5.55 1.60–6.02 | 9.84 6.24–13.45 5.28–14.40 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.27 13.35–21.20 12.26–22.29 | 10.85 7.29–14.41 6.33–15.37 | 28.12 20.63–35.61 18.58–37.66 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.21 8.27–14.15 7.44–14.98 | 6.64 3.96–9.32 3.22–10.06 | 17.85 12.23–23.47 10.66–25.04 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.45 2.57–6.33 2.03–6.88 | 2.91 1.26–4.56 0.77–5.06 | 7.36 3.83–10.90 2.79–11.93 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.71–8.13 3.13–8.71 | 3.83 1.83–5.83 1.29–6.36 | 9.75 5.53–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 56.22 49.43–63.01 47.76–64.68 | 44.70 37.92–51.49 36.25–53.16 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 558 491–625 473–643 | 446 380–513 362–530 | 1004 870–1138 835–1173 | 82% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.59 70.56–78.62 69.27–79.91 | 73.27 68.94–77.59 67.63–78.90 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 9.59 6.75–12.42 5.99–13.18 | 13.95 11.00–16.89 10.25–17.64 | 23.53 17.75–29.31 16.25–30.82 | 16% 79% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.90 1.64–6.15 1.05–6.74 | 48% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.19 1.02–5.37 0.46–5.93 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.90 0.64–4.28 | 3.73 2.17–5.28 1.74–5.71 | 6.19 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 24% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.