Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.162.93safe0.80–2.740.31–2.021.11–4.76safer0.55–2.990.08–2.250.63–5.24
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.044.1110.15safe4.18–7.912.37–5.856.55–13.76safer3.69–8.391.90–6.325.59–14.71
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.8810.8028.68safe13.95–21.807.24–14.3721.19–36.17safer12.86–22.896.28–15.3219.14–38.22
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.347.4318.77safe8.40–14.284.75–10.1113.15–24.39safer7.57–15.114.01–10.8511.58–25.96
Blocked shots
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.087.66safe2.71–6.471.42–4.734.13–11.20safer2.16–7.010.93–5.223.09–12.24
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.599.60safe3.79–8.221.59–5.595.38–13.81safer3.22–8.791.06–6.124.27–14.92
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction58.3442.79safe51.55–65.1336.00–49.57safer49.88–66.8034.33–51.24
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6174301046safe550–684363–496913–1180safer531–702346–514877–1216
Pass accuracy %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction74.7371.93safe70.70–78.7667.61–76.25safer69.41–80.0566.30–77.56
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction11.759.9321.69safe8.91–14.596.99–12.8815.90–27.47safer8.16–15.356.24–13.6314.40–28.97
Offsides
45%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.393.11safe0.56–2.880.30–2.490.86–5.36safer0.26–3.180.01–2.770.27–5.95
Yellow cards
33%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.442.71safe0.23–2.330.31–2.570.53–4.89safer0.00–2.590.02–2.860.00–5.45
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
25%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.856.54safe1.25–4.122.30–5.413.55–9.53safer0.86–4.511.87–5.832.74–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.93 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 6.04 4.18–7.91 3.69–8.39 | 4.11 2.37–5.85 1.90–6.32 | 10.15 6.55–13.76 5.59–14.71 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 17.88 13.95–21.80 12.86–22.89 | 10.80 7.24–14.37 6.28–15.32 | 28.68 21.19–36.17 19.14–38.22 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.34 8.40–14.28 7.57–15.11 | 7.43 4.75–10.11 4.01–10.85 | 18.77 13.15–24.39 11.58–25.96 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 3.08 1.42–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 7.66 4.13–11.20 3.09–12.24 | 64% 23% |
| Corners | 6.01 3.79–8.22 3.22–8.79 | 3.59 1.59–5.59 1.06–6.12 | 9.60 5.38–13.81 4.27–14.92 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 58.34 51.55–65.13 49.88–66.80 | 42.79 36.00–49.57 34.33–51.24 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 617 550–684 531–702 | 430 363–496 346–514 | 1046 913–1180 877–1216 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.73 70.70–78.76 69.41–80.05 | 71.93 67.61–76.25 66.30–77.56 | — | 62% 34% |
| Fouls | 11.75 8.91–14.59 8.16–15.35 | 9.93 6.99–12.88 6.24–13.63 | 21.69 15.90–27.47 14.40–28.97 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.77 | 3.11 0.86–5.36 0.27–5.95 | 45% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.28 0.23–2.33 0.00–2.59 | 1.44 0.31–2.57 0.02–2.86 | 2.71 0.53–4.89 0.00–5.45 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 3.85 2.30–5.41 1.87–5.83 | 6.54 3.55–9.53 2.74–10.34 | 25% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+